Should I Buy KRMN? KRMN 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Karman Holdings Inc (KRMN) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

95.360

1 Day change

6.22%

52 Week Range

118.380

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/05

Should I buy Analysis is updated weekly. For real time "Should I Buy" analysis, please sign up to get free answers.

Not a good buy right now for an impatient entry: momentum is still bearish (MACD falling) and price is sitting right on first support (~96.85) with no proprietary buy signals.
Attractive long-term story (defense/space exposure + M&A-driven guidance raises) is already widely recognized; near-term risk/reward is less favorable into earnings with elevated implied volatility.
A better “buy now” setup would require a clear technical reversal (RSI turning up + MACD histogram improving) or a post-earnings confirmation move.

Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals

AI Stock Picker: No signal on given stock today.
SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.

Technical Analysis

Trend/Momentum: MACD histogram at -2.021 and negatively expanding → downside momentum still building, not yet a reversal.
RSI: RSI(6) 36.05 → weak/near-oversold zone, but not a confirmed bounce signal by itself.
Moving averages: Converging MAs → consolidation after a sharp move; direction still unresolved but momentum indicators lean bearish.
Key levels: Pre-market ~96.5 is essentially at S1 = 96.848 (critical near-term support). If S1 fails, next support is S2 = 90.837. Upside reclaim needs a move back above Pivot = 106.578.
Pattern-based forward odds (provided): suggests modest upside near-term but -2.8% bias over the next month → aligns with current weakening momentum.

Options Data

Bearish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Neutral

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Positioning/Sentiment: Open interest put/call 2.18 (puts dominate) → market is positioned defensively/hedged, leaning cautious to bearish.
Flow today: Volume put/call 0.96 → today’s trading is roughly balanced (not an aggressive put chase), despite heavy put OI.
Volatility: 30D IV ~81.28% with IV percentile 93.28 → options are expensive; market is pricing large moves (notably into the 2026-02-19 earnings event).
Activity level: Today’s volume 469 vs 30D avg ~77% → not extreme, but still elevated enough to suggest active positioning ahead of catalysts.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Analyst upgrades/raises + guidance optimism: Multiple firms lifted targets materially (cluster around $118–$125), often tied to raised guidance and strategic M&A.
- Strategic M&A narrative: Acquisition commentary (Seemann & MSC) framed as expanding into higher-priority defense programs and boosting growth trajectory.
- Upcoming earnings catalyst: QDEC 2025 earnings on 2026-02-19 (after hours) with EPS est 0.11—a strong print/raise could quickly flip sentiment and price action.
- Sector tailwinds: Broader defense/space tech narrative remains supported by geopolitical/reshoring priorities (as reflected in analyst notes).

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Technical weakness at support: Price is testing S1 (~96.85) while MACD continues to deteriorate—risk of a support break and continuation lower toward ~90.84.
- Options positioning is defensive: High put open-interest skew (PCR 2.18) suggests meaningful hedging/bearish positioning.
- Entry-point concern from Wall Street: Piper Sandler initiated Neutral with $98 PT, explicitly noting the sharp rally and calling the setup tactically unattractive without higher conviction in 2026 growth inflection.
- News flow provided is not KRMN-specific: The listed headlines skew toward other defense/space names, so there’s no clear company-specific near-term news catalyst in the feed.
- No supportive “smart money” signal: Hedge funds/insiders listed as Neutral; no recent Congress trading data available to reinforce a near-term buy case.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter provided: 2025/Q3
Revenue: $121.787M, +41.67% YoY → strong top-line acceleration.
Net income: $7.644M, +78.10% YoY → profitability improving faster than revenue.
EPS: $0.06, +100% YoY → clear earnings leverage.
Gross margin: 34.33%, +3.22% YoY → margins expanding (quality of growth improving).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Trend: Clear upward revision cycle from Dec/Nov targets (~$70–$89 / initiations ~$80–$84) to late-Jan targets $118–$125.
Recent rating/target highlights:
- KeyBanc (2026-01-28): Overweight, PT $122 (raised from $80).
- Evercore ISI (2026-01-22): Outperform, PT $125 (raised from $110).
- RBC (2026-01-22): Outperform, PT $125 (raised from $85).
- Citi (2026-01-22): Buy, PT $125 (raised from $123).
- Truist (2026-01-09): Buy, PT $118 (raised from $89).
- Piper Sandler (2026-01-21): Neutral, PT $98 (tactical entry concern after sharp rally).
Wall Street pros: raised guidance + M&A expansion into high-priority defense programs; secular tailwinds through 2026.
Wall Street cons: valuation/entry-point risk after a rapid run; near-term setup needs confirmation from 2026 growth execution and upcoming earnings.

7 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast KRMN stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for KRMN is 80.5 USD with a low forecast of 70 USD and a high forecast of 89 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

7 Buy

0 Hold

0 Sell

Strong Buy

Current: 89.780

Low

Averages

80.5

High

Current: 89.780

Low

Averages

80.5

High

KeyBanc

Michael Leshock

Overweight

upgrade

$80 -> $122

AI Analysis

2026-01-28

Reason

KeyBanc

Michael Leshock

Price Target

$80 -> $122

AI Analysis

2026-01-28

upgrade

Overweight

Reason

KeyBanc analyst Michael Leshock raised the firm's price target on Karman to $122 from $80 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. Post the swath of recent events and headlines directly impacting the space and defense technology industries, the firm is updating view on the sector. KeyBanc sees an ideal macro environment persisting through 2026, driving significant growth opportunities and potential re-ratings of space and defense tech equities.

Evercore ISI

Outperform

maintain

$110 -> $125

2026-01-22

Reason

Evercore ISI

Price Target

$110 -> $125

2026-01-22

maintain

Outperform

Reason

Evercore ISI raised the firm's price target on Karman to $125 from $110 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. The acquisition of Seemann & MSC is "a strategic win" that offers expansion into Maritime Defense and enhances exposure to high-priority Department of War programs, says the analyst, who views the deal boosting Karman's growth trajectory "significantly." Karman's has raised its calendar 2025 and 2026 guidance significantly above Street estimates, reflecting the positive impact of the acquisition, the analyst noted.

Unlock Full Analyst Thesis， Get the complete breakdown of rating reason for KRMN

Unlock Now

KRMN Should I Buy

KRMN Should I Buy

Should You Buy Karman Holdings Inc (KRMN) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

People Also Watch