Not a good buy right now for an impatient entry: price is pressing into resistance after a short-term run-up (RSI_6 ~71) while pattern-based odds skew to a sharp near-term drop (80% chance of -7.35% next day).
Upside exists into the next resistance (~21.78) and into earnings (Feb 12 pre-market), but the risk/reward today is unfavorable given insider selling and a broadly neutral-to-cautious Wall Street stance.
Trend/Momentum: MACD histogram is positive and expanding (bullish momentum), but RSI_6 at ~71 suggests the stock is short-term overbought and prone to pullbacks.
Moving averages: Converging MAs suggest limited trend clarity—more “range/transition” behavior than a clean breakout trend.
Levels: Pivot ~20.97 is the key line to hold. Price is already above R1 ~21.47; next upside target is R2 ~21.78. Failure to hold above ~21.47 increases pullback risk toward ~20.97 then ~20.47.
Quant/pattern signal: Similar candlestick pattern analysis implies elevated near-term downside risk (80% chance of ~-7.35% next day), despite a more constructive 1-month expectation (+4.4%).
Options Data
Neutral
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Positioning/Sentiment: Open interest put/call ~0.99 is essentially neutral (no strong hedge tilt), while volume put/call ~0.15 shows call-heavy trading (bullish near-term bias).
Volatility: 30D IV ~28.6 vs historical vol ~16.5; IV percentile ~79 indicates options are relatively expensive—often seen ahead of catalysts (earnings on Feb 12).
Activity: Today’s volume is below average (~62% of 30D avg), suggesting no major “panic” or aggressive speculative surge yet.
Technical Summary
Sell
4
Buy
11
Positive Catalysts
Earnings catalyst upcoming: QDEC 2025 earnings on 2026-02-12 (pre-market). A solid print/outlook could re-rate the stock.
Sector backdrop (per analyst commentary): supply slowing and demand steady for high-quality strip retail centers can support steadier FFO growth.
Options tape: call-heavy volume (low put/call by volume) leans bullish into the near term.
Net income: $129.6M, +3.15% YoY (modest profitability improvement).
EPS: $0.19, flat YoY (growth not yet flowing strongly to per-share earnings).
Gross margin: 69.4%, +0.75% YoY (slight improvement in operating efficiency/mix).
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent trend: mostly Neutral/Hold/Equal Weight with price target cuts clustered in Dec–Jan (Citi to $21, Wells Fargo to $21, Mizuho to $21, Truist to $22, BofA/Scotia to $22), indicating a more constrained upside view.
Notable bullish outlier: UBS kept Buy but cut target to $26 (from $30), implying upside but with tempered conviction.
Wall Street pros: defensive strip retail fundamentals, slowing supply, steady demand, potential REIT total return improvement if macro eases.
Wall Street cons: “peak fundamentals” concern (occupancy near highs), valuations not obviously cheap, and consumer spending/tenant credit is a watch item.
Politicians/Congress: no recent congress trading data available; no political/influential trading activity provided.
Wall Street analysts forecast KIM stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for KIM is 23.96 USD with a low forecast of 21 USD and a high forecast of 27 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
15 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast KIM stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for KIM is 23.96 USD with a low forecast of 21 USD and a high forecast of 27 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
5 Buy
10 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 21.690
Low
21
Averages
23.96
High
27
Current: 21.690
Low
21
Averages
23.96
High
27
Truist
Ki Bin Kim
Hold
to
Hold
downgrade
$23 -> $22
AI Analysis
2026-01-20
Reason
Truist
Ki Bin Kim
Price Target
$23 -> $22
AI Analysis
2026-01-20
downgrade
Hold
to
Hold
Reason
Truist analyst Ki Bin Kim lowered the firm's price target on Kimco Realty to $22 from $23 and keeps a Hold rating on the shares. The firm adjusted ratings and targets in the real estate investment trust group as part of its 2026 outlook. Truist remains Neutral on REITs for 2026, saying fundamentals are improving as new supply slows and demand appears steady for high-quality assets. However, the stocks do not appear particularly cheap, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Truist is relatively bullish on healthcare, industrial, strip retail, gaming and lodging REITs, neutral on manufactured housing, multifamily, self-storage and triple net, and relatively cautious on mall and office.
Mizuho
Haendel St. Juste
Neutral
downgrade
$23 -> $21
2026-01-09
Reason
Mizuho
Haendel St. Juste
Price Target
$23 -> $21
2026-01-09
downgrade
Neutral
Reason
Mizuho analyst Haendel St. Juste lowered the firm's price target on Kimco Realty to $21 from $23 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm downgraded the shopping center real estate investment trust sector to Neutral, believing the group has reached peak fundamentals with portfolios approaching or surpassing all-time high occupancy levels.
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