Should I Buy KGEI? KGEI 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Kolibri Global Energy Inc (KGEI) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

3.850

1 Day change

1.85%

52 Week Range

9.890

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/05

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Not a good buy right now (for an impatient entry). No proprietary buy signals, no news catalyst, and near-term odds skew to a small pullback.
Price is sitting just above the pivot/support zone (~3.90); upside looks limited unless it cleanly breaks and holds above ~4.02–4.09.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
AI Stock Picker: no signal on given stock today.
SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.

Technical Analysis

Trend/structure: Converging moving averages + RSI near neutral indicates a consolidation phase rather than a strong trend.
Momentum: MACD histogram is positive (0.0293) but contracting, implying bullish momentum is fading rather than accelerating.
RSI (6): 54.54 (neutral) → no overbought/oversold edge for an immediate entry.
Key levels: Pivot 3.902 (current pre-market 3.925 is only slightly above). Resistance at 4.017 (R1) then 4.088 (R2). Support at 3.788 (S1) then 3.717 (S2).
Pattern-probability read: Similar-pattern stats show 40% chance of -1.83% next day, +7.23% next week, and roughly flat/slightly down next month (-0.48%) → not ideal for an immediate “buy now” decision.

Positive Catalysts

- Revenue growth remains solid in the latest reported quarter (2025/Q3: +16.8% YoY).
- If price breaks above ~4.02 and sustains, a move toward ~4.09 becomes technically plausible.
- Week-ahead pattern stats lean positive (+7.23% next week), suggesting potential for a short-term bounce if support holds.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Profitability deteriorated despite higher revenue (2025/Q3 net income -29% YoY; EPS -28.6% YoY).
- Gross margin compressed (53.57%, down ~11.5% YoY), which can weigh on sentiment.
- No recent news/events to spark immediate repricing.
- Hedge funds/insiders show neutral activity (no clear “smart money” tailwind).
- Broad tape is risk-off pre-market (S&P 500 -0.58%), which can pressure small-cap/energy names intraday.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2025/Q3
Revenue: 15.194M, +16.80% YoY (top-line growth positive).
Net Income: 3.598M, -28.98% YoY (earnings quality weakening vs last year).
EPS: 0.10, -28.57% YoY (declining per-share profitability).
Gross Margin: 53.57%, -11.50% YoY (margin compression is the key negative trend).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No analyst rating/price target update data provided, so no recent trend in upgrades/downgrades can be confirmed.
Wall Street-style pros (from available data): strong revenue growth.
Cons: declining EPS/net income and contracting gross margin, with no visible near-term catalyst to reverse sentiment.

Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast KGEI stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for KGEI is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

Buy

Hold

Sell

Current: 3.780

Low

Averages

High

Current: 3.780

Low

Averages

High

Roth MKM

John White

Strong Buy

Maintains

$6.75 → $11

AI Analysis

2025-02-18

Reason