Not a good buy right now: price is stretched/overbought into nearby resistance, which skews risk/reward poorly for an impatient entry.
Upside looks limited near-term (street targets mostly ~$24–$25 vs ~$22.65), while insider selling has accelerated.
If you must act immediately, this is better treated as a hold/avoid-chasing setup rather than a fresh buy at current pre-market levels.
Technical Analysis
Trend: Bullish structure (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) and MACD histogram positive and expanding (0.068) → momentum is still up.
Overbought: RSI_6 at 80.635 signals a stretched move; odds of a near-term pullback/consolidation are elevated.
Levels: Pre-market ~22.66 is above R1 (22.593) and approaching R2 (23.03). Buying into/above R1 typically offers worse entry quality; first meaningful support is pivot ~21.884, then S1 ~21.175.
Pattern-based forward view provided: ~50% chance of only +0.95% next day, +0.62% next week, and -0.72% next month → not compelling for a chase entry.
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Sentiment: Volume put/call at 0.25 is bullish (calls dominating daily flow); OI put/call at 0.88 is closer to neutral/slightly bullish positioning.
Volatility: 30D IV 24.72 vs historical vol 19.63 (options priced a bit rich vs realized), but IV percentile 14.34 / IV rank 8.76 indicate IV is low relative to its own history.
Activity: Today’s option volume (3,116) is well below the 5D/10D averages (27,872 / 26,547), suggesting no major “event” positioning pressure right now.
Technical Summary
Sell
5
Buy
10
Positive Catalysts
Technical trend remains bullish (aligned moving averages + positive MACD), so dips could be bid.
Analysts broadly lifted targets into 2026 outlook (many clustered around $24–$25), implying modest upside from current levels.
Options flow today is call-heavy (volume put/call 0.25), supportive of near-term sentiment.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
while price is pushing into resistance (R1 already exceeded; R2 near 23.03).
Financial Performance
Latest quarter: 2025/Q4.
Revenue: $1.882B, up +156.75% YoY (strong top-line growth signal in the snapshot).
Profitability: Net income $475M and EPS $0.43 are reported down sharply YoY (-270.25% and -253.57%), indicating material earnings deterioration vs last year’s quarter in this dataset (weak quality of growth / potential one-offs).
Takeaway: mixed quarter—strong revenue growth but worsening earnings trend in the provided figures, which reduces confidence in paying up at an overbought technical level.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent trend: Most firms raised price targets into/after Q4 and kept generally positive stances (Buy/Outperform/Equal Weight), with several targets around $24–$25.
Notable negative: Baird downgraded to Underperform (PT $18) on valuation/upside concerns for 2026.
Data inconsistency flag: One entry shows Baird raising KEY to a $230 target tied to “AI/DC strength,” which appears inconsistent with KeyCorp’s typical pricing context; weighting the broader cluster of $24–$25 targets is more reasonable.
Wall Street pros: improving 2026 bank tailwind narrative (repricing, balance sheet trends) and multiple PT raises.
Wall Street cons: valuation/upside debate (downgrade) and limited implied upside from consensus-like targets versus current price.
Wall Street analysts forecast KEY stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for KEY is 23 USD with a low forecast of 18 USD and a high forecast of 25 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
14 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast KEY stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for KEY is 23 USD with a low forecast of 18 USD and a high forecast of 25 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
8 Buy
5 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 22.700
Low
18
Averages
23
High
25
Current: 22.700
Low
18
Averages
23
High
25
Evercore ISI
John Pancari
Outperform
maintain
$25 -> $26
AI Analysis
2026-02-05
New
Reason
Evercore ISI
John Pancari
Price Target
$25 -> $26
AI Analysis
2026-02-05
New
maintain
Outperform
Reason
Evercore ISI analyst John Pancari raised the firm's price target on KeyCorp to $26 from $25 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares following EPS estimate revisions after the Q4 report.
Baird
Outperform
maintain
$221 -> $230
2026-02-02
Reason
Baird
Price Target
$221 -> $230
2026-02-02
maintain
Outperform
Reason
Baird raised the firm's price target on KeyCorp to $230 from $221 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. The firm updated its model following Q4 results which showed continued AI/DC strength.
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