Not a good buy right now (at ~$28.34 pre-market): price is pressing into nearby resistance (~28.36) while the broader moving-average structure remains bearish.
Momentum is improving but extended: MACD is positive/expanding, yet RSI(6) ~72 suggests near-term upside is getting stretched.
Sentiment supports the stock, but timing is mediocre for an impatient entry: hedge funds are accumulating and options skew is bullish, but the chart location (near resistance) reduces the immediate risk/reward.
Event setup: next major catalyst is QDEC 2025 earnings on 2026-02-24 (pre-market); buying ahead of that at resistance is less attractive.
Recent trend: sentiment turned more cautious with two notable downgrades to Hold in mid-Dec 2025.
Jefferies (2025-12-16): downgraded Buy → Hold, PT $32; cited integration risk from large mergers, heavy debt load, coffee price volatility.
Deutsche Bank (2025-12-15): downgraded Buy → Hold, PT $32 (from $35); cited complex acquisition/integration demands, coffee questions, rising energy competition.
Piper Sandler (2025-12-15): maintained Overweight and raised PT $38 (from $35); highlighted steady top-line momentum and manageable pricing elasticity.
Wall Street pros/cons view:
Pros: steady U.S. coffee/refreshment momentum, international growth, supportive pricing dynamics.
Cons: integration complexity and leverage concerns, commodity sensitivity (coffee), and margin pressure risk.
Wall Street analysts forecast KDP stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for KDP is 34.58 USD with a low forecast of 26 USD and a high forecast of 42 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
12 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast KDP stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for KDP is 34.58 USD with a low forecast of 26 USD and a high forecast of 42 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
7 Buy
5 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 28.010
Low
26
Averages
34.58
High
42
Current: 28.010
Low
26
Averages
34.58
High
42
Jefferies
Kaumil Gajrawala
Buy -> Hold
downgrade
$32
AI Analysis
2025-12-16
Reason
Jefferies
Kaumil Gajrawala
Price Target
$32
AI Analysis
2025-12-16
downgrade
Buy -> Hold
Reason
Jefferies analyst Kaumil Gajrawala downgraded Keurig Dr Pepper to Hold from Buy with a $32 price target. The company's new BevCo and Global CoffeeCo are capable of delivering top-line growth in FY26-27, but large scare mergers come with integration risk, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm further cites a heavy debt load, coffee price volatility, and new financing structure in its downgrade.
Deutsche Bank
Buy
to
Hold
downgrade
$35 -> $32
2025-12-15
Reason
Deutsche Bank
Price Target
$35 -> $32
2025-12-15
downgrade
Buy
to
Hold
Reason
Deutsche Bank downgraded Keurig Dr Pepper to Hold from Buy with a price target of $32, down from $35, as part of its 2026 outlook for the consumer packaged goods sector. The analyst remains more cautious on names with "complex" acquisitions, which prompts the downgrade of Keurig Dr Pepper. It cites the company's integration demands, potential coffee questions, rising energy competition, and the stock's 0% run over the past month for the downgrade.
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