Not a good buy right now: trend and momentum are bearish (price below key moving averages, MACD negative), which is unfavorable for an impatient entry.
No Intellectia buy-style trigger today (no AI Stock Picker or SwingMax signal), removing the strongest “buy now” justification.
Fundamentals are weakening (2025/Q3 YoY revenue, net income, and EPS all down materially), which can cap near-term upside.
Wall Street is still constructive (Outperform/Overweight) but price targets were cut, signaling tempered expectations; I would avoid new buys until the chart reclaims/holds above ~14.22 pivot and momentum improves.
Technical Analysis
Trend: Bearish structure with SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5, indicating the stock remains in a downtrend across long/medium/short horizons.
Momentum: MACD histogram at -0.0638 (below zero) with negative contraction—selling pressure is still present, with only mild signs of stabilizing.
RSI (6): 39.05, near the lower end of neutral (not oversold), suggesting downside risk can still persist before a durable bounce.
Key levels: Pivot 14.22 is the main reclaim level; immediate support S1 13.681 then S2 13.348. Resistance levels: R1 14.758, R2 15.091.
Setup read: At ~14 pre-market, price is below the pivot (14.22). That keeps the near-term bias bearish; a cleaner technical “buy” would typically require holding above 14.22 and pushing toward 14.76.
Positive Catalysts
on 2026-03-02 after hours could act as a catalyst if results/guide surprise positively (EPS est. 0.41).
Wall Street analysts forecast KBDC stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for KBDC is 15.5 USD with a low forecast of 15 USD and a high forecast of 16 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
5 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast KBDC stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for KBDC is 15.5 USD with a low forecast of 15 USD and a high forecast of 16 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
4 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 13.970
Low
15
Averages
15.5
High
16
Current: 13.970
Low
15
Averages
15.5
High
16
Keefe Bruyette
Outperform -> NULL
downgrade
$16
AI Analysis
2025-11-13
Reason
Keefe Bruyette
Price Target
$16
AI Analysis
2025-11-13
downgrade
Outperform -> NULL
Reason
Keefe Bruyette lowered the firm's price target on Kayne Anderson BDC to $16 from $16.50 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. The firm cites lower valuation multiples across the BDC sector for the price target reduction.
Wells Fargo
Finian P. O'Shea
Overweight
downgrade
$16 -> $15
2025-11-12
Reason
Wells Fargo
Finian P. O'Shea
Price Target
$16 -> $15
2025-11-12
downgrade
Overweight
Reason
Wells Fargo analyst Finian P. O'Shea lowered the firm's price target on Kayne Anderson BDC to $15 from $16 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. The firm says that Finco plays aren't the greatest BDCs, but Kayne's is "looking good out of the gate."
Unlock Full Analyst Thesis， Get the complete breakdown of rating reason for KBDC
