Not a good buy right now: price is stretched into resistance pre-market (~16.9 near R1 16.886) with an overbought short-term RSI, increasing near-term pullback risk.
No Intellectia buy signals today (AI Stock Picker/SwingMax), so there’s no systematic “must-buy now” trigger.
Fundamentals in the latest quarter (2026/Q3) show declining EPS and net income YoY, which limits upside enthusiasm despite a technically strong tape.
If you’re impatient and want immediate entry, this setup is more favorable for waiting for a dip toward support (around 16.20 / 15.51) than buying into resistance.
Technical Analysis
Trend: Bullish structure (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) suggests an uptrend is intact.
Momentum: MACD histogram positive and expanding (bullish momentum).
Overbought risk: RSI_6 at 74.11 signals the stock is stretched short-term (more prone to a snapback than a clean breakout).
Levels: Pivot 16.198; Resistance R1 16.886 (price ~16.9 is essentially at/just over R1), R2 17.31; Support S1 15.51, S2 15.086.
Pattern-based odds: Similar-pattern analysis indicates a ~70% probability of modest gains (+2.31% next day, +4.38% next week, +7.65% next month), but the entry location (at resistance) is unfavorable for an impatient “buy now” decision.
Balance sheet strengthening / leadership changes cited by BTIG as supportive longer-term catalysts.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
while short-term RSI is overbought, making buying “right now” tactically unattractive.
Financial Performance
Latest quarter: 2026/Q3.
Revenue: 150.528M, down -0.48% YoY (slight top-line decline).
Net income: 9.205M, down -25.45% YoY (meaningful profit compression).
EPS: 0.60, down -25.00% YoY.
Gross margin: 70.9%, down -0.67% YoY (minor deterioration).
Overall: Growth trend is negative YoY, especially on earnings, which weakens the case for chasing the stock at current resistance.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent changes show price-target cuts across the board (bullishness moderated):
Telsey (2025-12-11): PT cut to $16 from $17; rating Market Perform.
BTIG (2025-12-10): PT cut to $21 from $26; rating Buy.
Jefferies (2025-12-10): PT cut to $18 from $20; rating Buy.
Wall Street “pros” view: believes CEO-led product/marketing strategy, direct-channel strength, and potential 2026 setup improvements can support valuation.
Wall Street “cons” view: near-term pressure from promotions, soft store results, and tariff/promo assumptions dragging Q4 outlook; targets being reduced suggests limited immediate upside.
Positioning/flow checks: Hedge funds neutral (no significant last-quarter trend); insiders neutral (no significant last-month trend).
Politicians/congress: No recent congress trading data available.
Wall Street analysts forecast JILL stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for JILL is 19.5 USD with a low forecast of 18 USD and a high forecast of 21 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
4 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast JILL stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for JILL is 19.5 USD with a low forecast of 18 USD and a high forecast of 21 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
3 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 16.460
Low
18
Averages
19.5
High
21
Current: 16.460
Low
18
Averages
19.5
High
21
Telsey Advisory
Market Perform
downgrade
$17 -> $16
AI Analysis
2025-12-11
Reason
Telsey Advisory
Price Target
$17 -> $16
AI Analysis
2025-12-11
downgrade
Market Perform
Reason
Telsey Advisory lowered the firm's price target on J.Jill to $16 from $17 and keeps a Market Perform rating on the shares. The company delivered a "nice" top and bottom line beat, the analyst tells investors. The firm believes Q3 performance should serve as an "encouraging" sign that the new CEO's focus on expanding the customer file by involving the product assortment, enhancing the customer journey, and progress on marketing mix and storytelling across channels are bearing fruit.
BTIG
Janine Stichter
Buy
downgrade
$26 -> $21
2025-12-10
Reason
BTIG
Janine Stichter
Price Target
$26 -> $21
2025-12-10
downgrade
Buy
Reason
BTIG analyst Janine Stichter lowered the firm's price target on J.Jill to $21 from $26 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. J. Jill delivered a solid Q3 with stronger revenue and execution driving higher average unit retail, though a soft start to Q4 reflects seasonal promotional pressure rather than underlying demand, the analyst tells investors in a research note. With new CEO Mary Ellen Coyne's product and marketing strategy set to materialize in 2026, the setup improves, supporting a higher valuation as the balance sheet strengthens and leadership changes act as catalysts, the firm adds.
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