Should I Buy JELD? JELD 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy JELD-WEN Holding Inc (JELD) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

2.930

1 Day change

5.78%

52 Week Range

9.300

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/05

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Not a good buy right now: trend remains bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5) and price ($2.80 pre-market) is already above key pivot (~~$2.84) with limited upside to resistance (~~$3.09) versus meaningful downside to support (~$2.59).
Wall Street targets ($2.50–$2.60) sit below the current price, implying pros see more downside/limited return near-term.
Earnings (QDEC 2025) on 2026-02-17 after hours is a near-term catalyst with elevated uncertainty, while the last reported quarter showed shrinking revenue and margins.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
AI Stock Picker: no signal on given stock today.
SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.

Technical Analysis

Trend/structure: Bearish moving-average stack (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5) = primary downtrend still intact.
Momentum: MACD histogram is negative (-0.0257) but contracting, suggesting selling pressure is easing, not reversed.
RSI: RSI(6) ~54.8 (neutral) = no strong oversold bounce signal.
Key levels: Pivot ~2.841 (price $2.80 slightly below); resistance R1 ~3.091 then R2 ~3.245; support S1 ~2.59 then S2 ~2.436.
Pattern-based short-horizon bias: model suggests modest upside potential next day/week, but slightly negative 1-month expectation (near-term bounce risk inside a broader downtrend).

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bearish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Positioning vs flow: Open interest put/call (0.07) is very call-heavy (structurally bullish/hedged), but today’s volume put/call (51.0) is extremely put-skewed (acute bearish/defensive flow).
Volatility: 30D IV ~132% vs HV ~93% with IV percentile ~90.8 = options are priced for large moves (often around earnings/risk events).
Liquidity/size: Today volume is small (52 contracts) and call volume is only 1, so the extreme volume ratio may be noisy but still signals defensive tone today.
Takeaway: Options market implies high uncertainty; near-term sentiment (today’s flow) is bearish into an eventful window.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

beats the negative EPS expectation (-0.26 est.), the stock could react sharply given high implied volatility.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

is above the most recent Wall Street price targets ($2.50–$2.60), limiting perceived upside.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter provided: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: $809.5M, down 13.4% YoY (clear top-line contraction).
Profitability: Gross margin 17.41%, down 9.51% YoY (margin pressure).
Earnings: Net income -$367.6M and EPS -4.30 (still deeply negative, despite improving YoY off a worse prior period).
Overall: shrinking revenue + weaker margins + large losses = weak operating trend heading into the next earnings report (QDEC 2025 on 2026-02-17).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent actions are cautious/neutral: Jefferies kept Hold (PT raised to $2.60), Barclays kept Equal Weight (PT cut to $2.50).
Direction of targets: mixed (one raise, one cut), but both cluster below the current $2.80 price.
Wall Street “pros” view (pros/cons):
- Pros: valuation/price already depressed; any housing stabilization or company-specific execution could trigger sharp rebounds.
- Cons: soft residential construction outlook into 2026, limited pricing power vs preferred peers, and lack of conviction upgrades; targets below spot price suggest pros see more downside/limited near-term reward.
Ownership/trading color: Hedge funds neutral; insiders neutral; no recent Congress trading data reported.

5 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast JELD stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for JELD is 3.09 USD with a low forecast of 2.5 USD and a high forecast of 3.75 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

0 Buy

5 Hold

0 Sell

Hold

Current: 2.770

Low

2.5

Averages

3.09

High

3.75

Current: 2.770

Low

2.5

Averages

3.09

High

3.75

Jefferies

Hold

maintain

AI Analysis

2025-12-15

Reason

Jefferies

Price Target

AI Analysis

2025-12-15

maintain

Hold

Reason

Jefferies raised the firm's price target on Jeld-Wen to $2.60 from $2.25 and keeps a Hold rating on the shares. With residential construction expected to remain soft to start 2026, the firm prefers consumer facing companies that have pricing power, the analyst tells investors in a 2026 building products outlook note.

Barclays

Matthew Bouley

Equal Weight

downgrade

2025-12-08

Reason

Barclays

Matthew Bouley

Price Target

2025-12-08

downgrade

Equal Weight

Reason

Barclays analyst Matthew Bouley lowered the firm's price target on Jeld-Wen to $2.50 from $3 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares. The firm adjusted ratings and targets in the homebuilding and building products group as part of its 2026 outlook. Barclays expects another year of declines in single-family housing starts, saying the housing market "remains far from balanced." This leaves the homebuilder stocks "volatile, with no cycle call to be made," the analyst tells investors in a research note. Barclays believes building products and brokerage names can outperform despite weakness in new residential. It views building products and distributors as more compelling than homebuilders entering 2026.

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JELD Should I Buy

JELD Should I Buy

Should You Buy JELD-WEN Holding Inc (JELD) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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