Should I Buy JBS? JBS 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Jbs NV (JBS) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Buy

Latest Price

15.820

1 Day change

0.57%

52 Week Range

17.800

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/05

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Buy now (pre-market ~15.55) because the primary trend is bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) and options positioning is strongly call-skewed, indicating bullish sentiment.
Expect a near-term push toward resistance 16.03–16.23 if the market stabilizes; this setup fits an impatient buyer looking for immediate upside rather than waiting for an optimal dip.
Main risk is slowing momentum (MACD histogram contracting) plus recent YoY profit/margin deterioration; if price loses 15.35 support, the bullish thesis weakens quickly.

Technical Analysis

Trend: Bullish structure with moving averages aligned positively (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), suggesting an established uptrend.
Momentum: MACD histogram is positive (0.0582) but contracting → upside momentum is still present but slowing.
RSI: RSI_6 at 68.6 (upper-neutral, near overbought) → room for upside, but pullbacks are more likely than at lower RSI levels.
Key levels: Pivot 15.69; pre-market (~15.55) is slightly below pivot (minor short-term weakness). Support S1 15.35 (line-in-the-sand), S2 15.15. Resistance R1 16.03 then R2 16.23.
Pattern-based odds: Similar-pattern projection implies mild positive drift (next week +1.45%, next month +3.3%), supportive of a buy-now stance.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Sentiment: Extremely low put/call ratios (OI PCR 0.14; Volume PCR 0.04) = strong bullish skew (calls dominate) and limited near-term demand for downside protection.
Activity: Today’s option volume (4,787) is ~~2x the 5–10 day average (~~2,406–2,440) and ~98% of the 30-day average baseline → active but not “blow-off” level.
Volatility: IV30 ~31.83 vs HV ~25.51 → options are pricing a moderate premium; IV percentile ~40.65 (not extreme). This supports directional bullishness without the market screaming panic/mania.
Positioning detail: Call OI 115,683 vs Put OI 16,217 reinforces bullish positioning/interest.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Wall Street tone remains constructive: multiple Buy/Outperform ratings with targets well above current price.
- Technical uptrend intact (bullish MA stack) supports trend-following inflows.
- Options market is decisively call-skewed (bullish sentiment).
- No negative news flow in the last week to disrupt trend (no event-driven overhang identified).

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Profitability pressure in latest reported quarter: net income, EPS, and gross margin all down YoY (margin compression is the key fundamental headwind).
- Momentum is cooling (MACD histogram contracting) and RSI is elevated, increasing the chance of a near-term pullback.
- Broader tape headwind: S&P 500 pre-market -0.59% may cap upside intraday if risk-off persists.
- No fresh catalysts in the news this week, so upside relies more on technical/flow continuation than new information.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: 22.60B, +13.40% YoY (top-line growth remains strong).
Net income: 580.9M, -16.17% YoY (earnings declined despite higher revenue).
EPS: 0.52, -16.13% YoY (profit per share under pressure).
Gross margin: 13.15, -20.11% YoY (clear margin compression; this is the main fundamental negative trend).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent rating/target trend: Mostly bullish with targets still far above spot, though one notable trim.
2025-12-11: Santander upgraded to Outperform (from Neutral), PT $17.
2025-11-26: Goldman kept Buy but cut PT to $18.50 from $21.10 (more cautious on upside magnitude).
2025-11-17: BofA kept Buy and raised PT to $21 from $20 after Q3.
Wall Street pros vs cons: Pros = sustained revenue growth and continued Buy ratings/raised estimates post-Q3; Cons = profitability/margin deterioration (explains why some targets were trimmed despite Buy ratings).
Influential/politician trading: No recent congress trading data available; hedge funds and insiders show neutral activity (no strong accumulation/distribution signal).

8 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast JBS stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for JBS is 19.07 USD with a low forecast of 17 USD and a high forecast of 22 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

8 Buy

0 Hold

0 Sell

Strong Buy

Current: 15.730

Low

Averages

19.07

High

Current: 15.730

Low

Averages

19.07

High

UBS

Matheus Enfeldt

initiated

$19.50

AI Analysis

2026-02-06

New

Reason

UBS

Matheus Enfeldt

Price Target

$19.50

AI Analysis

2026-02-06

New

initiated

Reason

UBS analyst Matheus Enfeldt last night initiated coverage of JBS with a Buy rating and $19.50 price target, which implies 23% upside. The firm expects the stock to re-rate following the U.S. listing and joins indices in the country, a process which it says typically lasts for two years. In addition, returns from JBS's $1B annual expansion capex remain unpriced by the market, the analyst tells investors in a research note.

UBS

NULL -> Buy

initiated

$19.50

2026-02-05

New

Reason

UBS

Price Target

$19.50

2026-02-05

New

initiated

NULL -> Buy

Reason

UBS initiated coverage of JBS with a Buy rating and $19.50 price target.

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JBS Should I Buy

JBS Should I Buy

Should You Buy Jbs NV (JBS) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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