Not a good buy right now for an impatient entry: price is extended and trading near resistance with limited near-term upside vs downside.
Momentum is bullish (bullish MAs + expanding positive MACD), but RSI is elevated and the stock is already above R1 (5.824) and pressing toward R2 (6.159).
Options positioning is bullish (call-heavy), but that can also mean the “easy move” may already be priced in.
Hedge funds have been aggressively buying (large QoQ increase), which supports the medium-term case, but doesn’t fix the poor near-term entry location.
Volatility: 30D IV ~66.8% vs HV ~67.8% (similar), IV percentile ~33.9 / rank ~37.5 → not extremely stretched; premiums are mid-range for its history.
Interpretation: Bullish options tone supports upside bias, but with price near resistance it’s less attractive to “chase.”
Technical Summary
Sell
5
Buy
10
Positive Catalysts
Hedge fund activity: “Hedge Funds are Buying” with a very large QoQ increase, supporting institutional confidence.
Analyst tone improved post-earnings: multiple price targets lifted to ~$6 and Citi upgraded to Neutral.
Demand commentary: Evercore notes strong demand and a normalized booking curve.
Partnership/news flow: Interline agreement with Contour expands connectivity across destinations.
Brand/service recognition: Awarded Best U.S. Economy Cabin (supports customer preference/PR).
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
→ poor risk/reward for immediate buying.
Financial Performance
Latest quarter: 2025/Q4.
Revenue: $2.244B, down ~1.45% YoY → top-line not yet growing.
Profitability: Net income improved to -$177M (loss narrowed materially YoY); EPS improved to -$0.48 (still negative).
Margins: Gross margin 62.48%, down ~1.28% YoY → some margin pressure remains.
Takeaway: Clear improvement vs last year (loss narrowing), but not a clean profitability story yet.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent trend: Ratings/targets have turned less bearish and more constructive, with several firms lifting PTs to ~$6.
Key change: Citi upgraded to Neutral from Sell (PT raised to $6 from $4), citing upside risks and “strategic optionality.”
Other updates: Evercore (In Line) PT to $6; JPMorgan (Neutral) PT to $6; Susquehanna/TD Cowen also lifted targets while staying neutral/hold.
Wall Street pros: improving demand/booking curve, better industry setup into 2026, potential strategic optionality.
Wall Street cons: turnaround execution still a question and profitability is still negative; overall stance remains mostly Neutral/Hold rather than bullish.
Wall Street analysts forecast JBLU stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for JBLU is 4.69 USD with a low forecast of 3.5 USD and a high forecast of 7 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
10 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast JBLU stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for JBLU is 4.69 USD with a low forecast of 3.5 USD and a high forecast of 7 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
0 Buy
5 Hold
5 Sell
Moderate Sell
Current: 6.040
Low
3.5
Averages
4.69
High
7
Current: 6.040
Low
3.5
Averages
4.69
High
7
Citi
John Godyn
Sell -> Neutral
upgrade
$4 -> $6
AI Analysis
2026-02-03
New
Reason
Citi
John Godyn
Price Target
$4 -> $6
AI Analysis
2026-02-03
New
upgrade
Sell -> Neutral
Reason
Citi analyst John Godyn upgraded JetBlue to Neutral from Sell with a price target of $6, up from $4.
Citi
Sell -> Neutral
upgrade
$4 -> $6
2026-02-03
New
Reason
Citi
Price Target
$4 -> $6
2026-02-03
New
upgrade
Sell -> Neutral
Reason
Citi upgraded JetBlue to Neutral from Sell with a price target of $6, up from $4. The firm sees "upside risks" for the shares and says JetBlue is one of the few airlines that "strategic optionality is even a possibility." Citi is "tactically bullish" on airlines post the Q4 reports.
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