Neutral/Negative Catalysts
- Momentum risk: MACD is still positive but contracting, which can precede consolidation after a move.
- Elevated event volatility: High IV/IV percentile suggests the market has priced in a big move; upside may need continued strong guidance/follow-through to extend.
- Prior quarter profitability softness: 2025/Q3 showed EPS and net income down YoY, indicating that margin/earnings growth has been uneven even with strong revenue.
- M&A/leverage overhang: SPX FLOW acquisition implies near-term leverage rise (even with stated plan to reduce), which can cap multiple expansion.