Should I Buy ITRN? ITRN 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Ituran Location and Control Ltd (ITRN) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Sell

Latest Price

45.960

1 Day change

2.73%

52 Week Range

46.600

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/05

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Not a good buy right now for an impatient investor: technical momentum is weakening (MACD histogram negative and expanding) while near-term pattern-based odds skew slightly bearish (next week/month expected drift lower).
Trend structure is still constructive longer-term (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), but the stock is sitting just below the pivot (~45.02) in pre-market (44.89), offering no clear “must-buy now” trigger.
Options positioning is mixed: very low put open interest vs calls (bullish longer-dated positioning), but today’s volume is put-heavy (near-term caution).
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
AI Stock Picker: no signal on given stock today.
SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.
Bottom line: avoid buying pre-market here; if you already hold, this is closer to a trim/sell than an add, unless price reclaims and holds above ~46.18 (R1) with improving momentum.

Technical Analysis

Price/levels: Pre-market 44.89 is slightly below Pivot 45.019; immediate support S1 43.854 then S2 43.134. Upside resistance R1 46.184 then R2 46.904.
Trend: Moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), suggesting the broader trend is still up.
Momentum: MACD histogram -0.0107 below zero and negatively expanding = weakening/rolling momentum.
RSI: RSI_6 at 49.0 is neutral, consistent with a “no edge” entry right now.
Quant/pattern read-through: similar-pattern projection shows ~80% chance of mild downside over 1D/1W/1M (-0.51% / -2.65% / -4.14%), reinforcing a cautious near-term stance.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bearish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Open interest: Put/Call OI ratio 0.15 (puts 219 vs calls 1458) indicates positioning skewed bullish/less hedged.
Volume: Put/Call volume ratio 2.27 (puts 25 vs calls 11) indicates near-term trading flow is more defensive today.
Activity: Total volume 36 is light; today vs 30D avg volume = 72 (below average), so sentiment signal is not especially strong.
Volatility: IV30 34.3 vs historical vol 27.37 (options priced a bit rich). IV percentile 43 and IV rank 14 suggest not “high IV” versus the past year; also IV 5D/10D averages are much higher than current, implying IV has been compressing recently.
Takeaway: mixed—longer-dated positioning looks bullish, but near-term flow leans cautious; not a clean buy setup from options today.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Earnings upcoming: 2026-02-17 (pre-market). A strong report could re-rate the stock quickly.
- Underlying business trend (last reported quarter) shows solid growth and improving gross margin, supportive for medium-term.
- Long-term technical structure remains bullish due to stacked moving averages (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200).

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Momentum deterioration: MACD histogram below zero and expanding negatively increases risk of a short-term pullback.
- Pattern-based forecast indicates a mild bearish drift over the next week/month.
- Options tape today is put-heavy (volume put/call 2.27), suggesting traders are leaning defensive into the near term.
- No positive news flow in the last week to act as an immediate catalyst.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: 92.278M, +10.54% YoY (healthy top-line growth).
Net income: 14.645M, +7.27% YoY (profits growing, slightly slower than revenue).
EPS: 0.74, +7.25% YoY.
Gross margin: 50.31%, +4.59% YoY (notable margin improvement, a clear quality positive).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No analyst rating/price target change data was provided, so there is no observable recent trend to confirm improving or deteriorating Wall Street sentiment.
Wall Street pros (inferred from fundamentals provided): consistent YoY revenue/EPS growth and higher gross margin.
Wall Street cons (from market/technical context): near-term momentum is soft and earnings are a binary near-term event, which can keep some analysts cautious absent fresh guidance.

1 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast ITRN stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ITRN is 50 USD with a low forecast of 50 USD and a high forecast of 50 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

1 Buy

0 Hold

0 Sell

Moderate Buy

Current: 44.740

Low

Averages

High

Current: 44.740

Low

Averages

High

Barclays

Tavy Rosner

Buy

Maintains

$35 → $50

AI Analysis

2025-02-27

Reason