Not a good buy right now for an impatient investor: the stock is in a strong downtrend after an earnings/guidance shock, and near-term odds still skew to further weakness.
Deeply oversold conditions (RSI ~7) can produce sharp dead-cat bounces, but with no Intellectia buy signals today and fundamentals/guidance deteriorating, the bounce is not a high-confidence entry.
Trend: Bearish. Moving averages are stacked bearishly (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5), signaling a sustained downtrend.
Momentum: MACD histogram is deeply negative (-7.912) and negatively expanding → selling pressure is still accelerating rather than stabilizing.
Overbought/oversold: RSI_6 = 7.32 (extremely oversold) → bounce risk is high, but oversold is not the same as a confirmed bottom.
Key levels: Pre-market ~158 is essentially sitting on S1 (158.121). A clean break below increases risk toward S2 (134.505). Overhead resistance is far away (pivot ~196, then ~235).
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Sentiment tilt: Put/call ratios below 1.0 (both OI and volume) imply positioning is not heavily defensive and is modestly call-leaning.
Activity spike: Today’s option volume is 331% of 30D average and open interest is elevated (170% vs average) → strong event-driven participation (consistent with the post-earnings shock).
Volatility: IV30 ~46 with IV percentile ~80.9 → options are priced rich vs recent history, reflecting uncertainty and making directional timing harder.
Price vs volatility: Historical vol (~76) above IV30 suggests realized volatility has been extreme recently (post-gap move).
Technical Summary
Sell
9
Buy
5
Positive Catalysts
holds.
can provide some longer-term support (though not necessarily near-term).
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
Earnings and guidance reset: management forecast implies ~0.6% decline in 2026 sales and lower adjusted earnings → fundamental pressure persists beyond the one-day drop.
Market narrative risk: news flow highlights fears that AI tools reduce demand for traditional advisory/research services.
Technical damage is severe: bearish MA stack + expanding negative MACD suggests downtrend continuation risk.
Trading trends: insiders are selling (selling amount up ~416.7% over the last month), which is a clear negative signal.
Pattern-based forward odds provided are negative-biased (higher probability of downside over next day/week).
Financial Performance
Latest quarter: 2025/Q4.
Revenue: $1.7526B, +2.19% YoY (slow growth).
Profitability: Net income -39.26% YoY to $242.1M; EPS -34.25% YoY to $3.36 → earnings deterioration is the core issue.
Margin: Gross margin up to 64.6% (+1.75% YoY), but operating/earnings leverage is negative given the EPS decline.
Overall: top line is holding up modestly, but profit/earnings trend is sharply down and guidance signals more pressure ahead.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent trend: a rapid wave of price target cuts after earnings/guidance.
RBC (2026-02-04): PT cut $250 → $175, Sector Perform; highlights slowing contract value growth and weaker retention/new business.
Baird (2026-02-04): PT cut $301 → $240, keeps Outperform (more constructive, but still cut sharply).
Wall Street pros: some believe the franchise can stabilize and benefit from AI-related product evolution.
Wall Street cons: near-term fundamentals (CV growth/retention/new business) are weakening, and AI-driven substitution risk is a key overhang.
Wall Street analysts forecast IT stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for IT is 273.86 USD with a low forecast of 218 USD and a high forecast of 390 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
9 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast IT stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for IT is 273.86 USD with a low forecast of 218 USD and a high forecast of 390 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
3 Buy
5 Hold
1 Sell
Hold
Current: 152.030
Low
218
Averages
273.86
High
390
Current: 152.030
Low
218
Averages
273.86
High
390
Truist
Jasper Bibb
Buy
downgrade
$300 -> $170
AI Analysis
2026-02-06
New
Reason
Truist
Jasper Bibb
Price Target
$300 -> $170
AI Analysis
2026-02-06
New
downgrade
Buy
Reason
Truist analyst Jasper Bibb lowered the firm's price target on Gartner to $170 from $300 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The company missed on Q4 contract value, and the management continues to flag a challenging selling environment and also announced fairly broad changes to the Insights product offering, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
BMO Capital
Market Perform
downgrade
$258 -> $188
2026-02-05
New
Reason
BMO Capital
Price Target
$258 -> $188
2026-02-05
New
downgrade
Market Perform
Reason
BMO Capital lowered the firm's price target on Gartner to $188 from $258 and keeps a Market Perform rating on the shares. The company delivered a margin-driven beat aided by a lower share count, though its contract value was again challenged by federal government churn and a difficult selling environment, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
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