Not a good buy right now for an impatient buyer: the trend is bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5 and MACD histogram negative/expanding), and there is no Intellectia buy signal to override the technical weakness.
Price is below the pivot (91.357) in pre-market (~89.98), suggesting sellers still control the tape; nearest support is S1 ~88.293 (a likely test area).
Options flow is mixed-to-bearish near-term (put volume dominates), and implied volatility is elevated (IV percentile ~89.6) into earnings (2026-02-12 pre-market), increasing event-risk.
Wall Street remains supportive (recent Overweight reiterations with ~$123–$125 targets), and hedge funds are accumulating, but the current setup looks more like “wait for confirmation/bounce” than “buy now.”
Trend/MAs: Bearish structure with SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5, indicating sustained downside momentum across timeframes.
MACD: Histogram -0.544 and negatively expanding -> bearish momentum is strengthening rather than stabilizing.
RSI(6): 42.6 (neutral-to-weak), not yet showing an oversold rebound signal.
Key levels: Pivot 91.357 (overhead), Resistance R1 94.42; Support S1 88.293 then S2 86.4. With pre-market ~89.98, risk of a drift toward S1 remains unless price reclaims the pivot quickly.
Pattern-based odds (provided): skew modestly positive over 1-week (+5.38%) but less compelling given current bearish momentum indicators.
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bearish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Positioning (Open Interest): Put/Call OI ratio 0.91 suggests slightly more calls than puts outstanding (not heavily defensive structurally).
Flow (Volume): Put/Call volume ratio 2.21 with puts 1089 vs calls 493 implies bearish/hedging demand dominated today.
Volatility: 30D IV 39.72 vs historical vol 25.01 (IV elevated), IV percentile 89.64 (options are expensive; market pricing larger-than-usual moves).
Activity: Today’s volume is ~160.8% of 30-day average (heightened interest), consistent with pre-earnings positioning.
Technical Summary
Sell
1
Buy
15
Positive Catalysts
on 2026-02-12 pre-market could re-rate the stock if guidance/FFO metrics surprise positively.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
Technical momentum is currently bearish (negative/expanding MACD + bearish MA stack), which often overwhelms fundamentals in the short run.
Options flow today is bearish (put volume dominant), suggesting near-term caution into earnings.
Profitability deterioration in latest reported quarter: 2025/Q3 net income and EPS sharply down YoY alongside lower gross margin.
Event risk: Elevated IV into earnings implies the market expects a bigger move; direction is uncertain but downside risk is being actively hedged via puts.
No supportive near-term news flow (no news in recent week) to reverse sentiment immediately.
Net Income: $84.29M, down -350.71% YoY (significant decline).
EPS: $0.28, down -354.55% YoY (material earnings compression).
Gross Margin: 39.9%, down -3.92% YoY (margin pressure).
Takeaway: Growth is healthy at the revenue level, but profitability/margins weakened materially in the latest quarter, which can cap near-term multiple expansion.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent tone: Bullish/constructive.
2025-11-19 (Wells Fargo): Overweight, PT $125; defended the stock vs a short report and reiterated confidence in continued compounding growth.
2025-11-12 (Barclays): Overweight, PT raised to $123 (from $122).
Wall Street pros view (pros): Strong medium-term growth narrative + supportive management commentary; targets imply sizable upside from current price.
Wall Street cons view (cons): Mature physical storage volumes slightly negative (acknowledged), and recent profitability pressure raises questions about near-term earnings quality.
Influential/political trading: No recent congress trading data available; insiders reported as neutral (no significant trend last month).
Wall Street analysts forecast IRM stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for IRM is 124.5 USD with a low forecast of 111 USD and a high forecast of 139 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
6 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast IRM stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for IRM is 124.5 USD with a low forecast of 111 USD and a high forecast of 139 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
5 Buy
0 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 88.950
Low
111
Averages
124.5
High
139
Current: 88.950
Low
111
Averages
124.5
High
139
Wells Fargo
Overweight
maintain
$125
AI Analysis
2025-11-19
Reason
Wells Fargo
Price Target
$125
AI Analysis
2025-11-19
maintain
Overweight
Reason
Wells Fargo keeps an Overweight rating and $125 price target on Iron Mountain. The firm is defending the stock following the Gotham City's public short report, noting that the material "lacks any real new insights we haven't already heard in the past", the analyst tells investors in a research note. Investors are well aware the volumes in the company's more mature North America physical storage business are slightly negative, and the report will be just a "momentary distraction" that will be forgotten about as Iron Mountain continues to compound over 10% growth, the firm added.
Barclays
NULL -> Overweight
maintain
$122 -> $123
2025-11-12
Reason
Barclays
Price Target
$122 -> $123
2025-11-12
maintain
NULL -> Overweight
Reason
Barclays raised the firm's price target on Iron Mountain to $123 from $122 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. The firm updated the company's model after meeting with management.
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