Neutral/Negative Catalysts
- Price action is the catalyst (bearish): Shares dropped ~25% post-earnings despite a beat, signaling the market disliked guidance/quality/duration.
- Momentum deterioration: MACD is negative and expanding; moving averages are stacked bearishly.
- High-vol environment: IV at the extreme percentile implies unstable price discovery; swings can continue both ways.
- Near-term probability skew (provided): Next day/week projections slightly negative, aligning with continued post-earnings digestion.
- Wall Street reset: Multiple price target cuts immediately after earnings reinforce cautious sentiment.
