Neutral/Negative Catalysts
- No news in the last week: lack of a near-term catalyst reduces the probability of an immediate breakout.
- Bearish technical setup (downtrend MAs + deteriorating MACD) suggests rallies may get sold into resistance (pivot ~0.649 / R1 ~0.702).
- Elevated IV signals the market expects big moves; without directionally supportive catalysts, this can translate into sharp downside spikes.
- Congress/politician activity: no recent data available (no supportive “influential buyer” signal).