Not a good buy right now: price action is in a clear downtrend and today’s -10.53% drop likely broke near-term support, increasing downside risk.
Oversold conditions (very low short-term RSI) can spark a bounce, but with no Intellectia buy signals and bearish moving averages, odds favor continued volatility rather than a clean reversal.
If you’re impatient and want immediate confirmation, this setup doesn’t offer it; the better “buy now” case would be a reclaim of prior support (~8.18) and stabilization.
Trend: Bearish. Moving averages are stacked bearishly (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5), consistent with a sustained downtrend.
Momentum: MACD histogram at -0.319 and negatively expanding → downside momentum is strengthening, not fading.
RSI: RSI_6 = 25.698 → deeply oversold on a short lookback, which can enable sharp dead-cat bounces, but oversold alone is not a buy signal in a downtrend.
Levels: S1 = 8.184 is above the latest price (~8.03), implying a breakdown below support; next support S2 ~ 6.798. Resistance/pivot area is much higher (Pivot 10.428).
Pattern-based forward look (provided): modestly positive drift probabilities (next day +0.38%, next week +1.81%, next month +5.54%), but these are small relative to current volatility and today’s breakdown.
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Positioning/sentiment: Very low open interest put-call ratio (0.2) and put-call volume ratio (0.45) → options market is skewed bullish (calls dominate).
Volatility: Extremely high IV (30D IV ~140%) vs historical volatility ~150% → market expects large moves; this supports trading interest but also implies elevated premium/price swings.
Activity: Today’s option volume (7,012) is ~51.79% of 30-day average → not a “capitulation” volume day in options.
Open interest: Today’s OI 151,168 with today vs OI avg ~120% → elevated positioning remains, but not necessarily confirming a bottom.
Technical Summary
Sell
9
Buy
6
Positive Catalysts
can attract speculative inflows.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
Strong bearish technicals: breakdown below ~8.18 support with worsening MACD momentum suggests sellers still control the trend.
Large single-day drop (-10.53%) increases the probability of follow-through selling and wide intraday ranges.
No confirming “buy” signal from Intellectia modules (AI Stock Picker and SwingMax both absent).
Trading trends: hedge funds neutral and insiders neutral (no strong smart-money confirmation either way).
Financial Performance
Latest quarter provided: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: 0 (0.00% YoY) → still pre-commercial/no meaningful revenue base.
Profitability: Net income 1,927,839 (+79.97% YoY) and EPS 0.07 (+75% YoY) improved, but results likely influenced by non-operating items given zero revenue.
Overall: improving reported earnings metrics, but growth quality is hard to assess without operating revenue traction.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent trend: two recent initiations (Dec 2025 and Jan 2026) both positive.
Cantor Fitzgerald (2025-12-19): initiated Overweight, PT $12.
Northland (2026-01-29): initiated Outperform, PT $15; cites safer/molten-salt design attributes, DOE and Texas A&M projects, and relative peer discount.
Wall Street “pros” view: strong long-term thematic upside (advanced nuclear / Gen IV).
Wall Street “cons” view: commercialization/regulatory timeline risk and high volatility remain key overhangs.
Wall Street analysts forecast IMSR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for IMSR is 12 USD with a low forecast of 12 USD and a high forecast of 12 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
1 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast IMSR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for IMSR is 12 USD with a low forecast of 12 USD and a high forecast of 12 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
1 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 7.400
Low
12
Averages
12
High
12
Current: 7.400
Low
12
Averages
12
High
12
Northland
Outperform
initiated
$15
AI Analysis
2026-01-29
Reason
Northland
Price Target
$15
AI Analysis
2026-01-29
initiated
Outperform
Reason
Northland initiated coverage of Terrestrial Energy with an Outperform rating and $15 price target. Terrestrial is commercializing an advanced molten salt nuclear reactor technology that has improved safety and operating characteristics compared to legacy light water reactor designs, notes the analyst, who also points out that the company has projects with the DOE and Texas A&M but trades at about a 37% discount to nuclear reactor peers despite what the firm sees as "these positive attributes."
Cantor Fitzgerald
NULL -> Overweight
initiated
$12
2025-12-19
Reason
Cantor Fitzgerald
Price Target
$12
2025-12-19
initiated
NULL -> Overweight
Reason
Cantor Fitzgerald initiated coverage of Terrestrial Energy with an Overweight rating and $12 price target.
Unlock Full Analyst Thesis， Get the complete breakdown of rating reason for IMSR
