Buy now for a short-term rebound setup: IDN is extremely oversold (RSI_6 6.7) after a sharp -7.63% drop, trading just above the next support zone (4.70), which typically creates a favorable risk/reward for an impatient entry.
Bias: tactical/swing bullish (mean-reversion), not trend-following (trend is still down).
No politician/congress activity signal: no recent congress trading data available; hedge funds/insiders are neutral (no supporting flow catalyst).
Technical Analysis
Trend/Momentum: Bearish near-term—MACD histogram is negative (-0.119) and expanding lower, signaling downside momentum still present.
Oversold condition: RSI_6 at ~6.7 is an extreme oversold reading, often associated with snapback bounces (especially after a single-day dump).
Key levels:
Resistance/pivot: ~5.56 (pivot), then ~6.09 (R1).
Support: 5.03 (S1) overhead now (likely first reclaim level); stronger support near ~4.70 (S2), very close to current price (4.84).
Moving averages: converging MAs suggests compression/transition; combined with extreme RSI, this favors a volatility expansion rebound attempt, but direction is not confirmed by MACD yet.
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bearish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Positioning (Open Interest): Put/Call OI ratio 0.32 is call-heavy, generally a bullish positioning signal.
Flow (Today’s Volume): Put/Call volume ratio 2.71 is bearish near-term (more puts traded today), consistent with hedging/fear after the drop.
Volatility: IV30 ~90.6 vs historical vol ~33.3 (very elevated) + IV percentile ~87 → market pricing a large move; this often appears around capitulation-style selloffs and can coincide with bounce attempts.
Liquidity/size: total options volume is small (26 contracts), so sentiment signals are directionally useful but not high-conviction from flow alone.
Technical Summary
Sell
8
Buy
6
Positive Catalysts
Technical snapback potential from extreme oversold RSI and proximity to support (~4.70–4.85 zone).
Analyst sentiment is strongly positive (recent upgrades/raised targets into late 2025), supporting a “buyers step in on dips” narrative.
Fundamental growth: 2025/Q3 revenue grew +27.71% YoY, and prior commentary suggests traction in new verticals / diversification.
Pattern-based expectation: similar-candlestick analog suggests a positive skew over 1 week (+4.46%) and 1 month (+18.35%).
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
Momentum remains bearish: MACD is below zero and worsening; price could still probe lower before a durable rebound.
No near-term news catalysts in the last week to force a quick sentiment reversal.
Profitability deterioration: 2025/Q3 net income and EPS fell sharply YoY, which can keep pressure on the stock on rallies.
Options flow today is defensive (put-heavy volume), implying traders are still braced for downside/volatility.
Net income: $0.29M, down -134.65% YoY (profitability pressure vs prior year).
EPS: $0.01, down -125% YoY.
Gross margin: 90.51%, slightly lower (-0.54% YoY) but still very high; the key issue is operating/earnings volatility rather than gross margin structure.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent trend: analysts have been getting more bullish (upgrades + price target raises in Nov–Dec 2025).
Key changes:
Northland upgraded to Outperform with $7 PT (2025-11-13), citing robust Q3 and diversification.
D.A. Davidson reiterated Buy and raised PT to $7.50 (2025-11-13), highlighting strong beat and operating leverage.
H.C. Wainwright reiterated Buy and raised PT to $8.50 (2025-12-16), citing traction in new verticals and higher multiple.
Wall Street pros: strong revenue momentum, diversification reducing concentration risk, signs of operating leverage.
Wall Street cons: earnings/net income volatility (recent YoY decline) can cap multiple expansion until consistency improves.
Wall Street analysts forecast IDN stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for IDN is 7.5 USD with a low forecast of 7 USD and a high forecast of 8.5 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
4 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast IDN stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for IDN is 7.5 USD with a low forecast of 7 USD and a high forecast of 8.5 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
4 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 4.760
Low
7
Averages
7.5
High
8.5
Current: 4.760
Low
7
Averages
7.5
High
8.5
H.C. Wainwright
Buy
maintain
$6
AI Analysis
2025-12-16
Reason
H.C. Wainwright
Price Target
$6
AI Analysis
2025-12-16
maintain
Buy
Reason
H.C. Wainwright raised the firm's price target on Intellicheck to $8.50 from $6 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The company is frowning traction in new verticals, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm upped estimates and assigns the shares a higher multiple.
Northland
Market Perform -> Outperform
upgrade
$7
2025-11-13
Reason
Northland
Price Target
$7
2025-11-13
upgrade
Market Perform -> Outperform
Reason
Northland upgraded Intellicheck to Outperform from Market Perform with a $7 price target following a "robust" Q3. The diversification strategy is "continuing to bear fruit" with Retail down to 30% exposure, the analyst tells investors.
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