Not a good buy right now at $318–321 after a sharp +5.8% regular-session pop; price is extended and near the next resistance (326).
Wall Street price targets ($259–$275) sit well below the current price, implying limited upside vs. meaningful downside if sentiment mean-reverts.
Fundamentals and acquisition-driven growth are constructive, but the near-term setup looks overbought/fully priced; for an impatient buyer, the risk/reward is unfavorable today.
Momentum: RSI(6)=77.5 (overbought/extended), suggesting chase-risk after the jump.
MACD: Histogram -0.0342 (below zero) but contracting negatively—selling pressure is easing, yet momentum is not cleanly accelerating upward.
Levels: Pivot ~300.9 is the key “fair value” area; price is above R1 ~316.3 and approaching R2 ~325.8 (near-term ceiling). A breakout above ~326 would improve the buy case; failure here risks a pullback toward ~316 or ~301.
Pattern-based odds: Similar-pattern stats imply modest expected gains (about +1.18% next day / +1.28% next week), not a high-conviction “chase” profile after a surge.
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Sentiment: Put/Call ratios are low (OI 0.63; Volume 0.14) → positioning/flow skews bullish (more calls than puts).
Volatility: IV(30d) ~50.75 vs HV ~45.72; IV percentile 74.5 indicates options are relatively expensive vs recent history.
Activity: Today’s option volume 33, but 31x the 30-day average volume (from a low base) and open interest 799 (69.9 vs avg OI metric provided), suggesting a noticeable uptick in attention.
Takeaway: Options lean bullish, but elevated IV reduces the attractiveness of chasing with new long-premium trades; the equity also looks stretched technically.
Read-through: Solid execution and margin resilience, but growth is not “hyper-growth”; the current price appears to be demanding continued strong delivery.
Wall Street cons: Valuation looks stretched vs. targets, and new residential exposure could pressure growth if housing remains soft.
Influential/congress trading: No recent congress trading data available; insiders reported as neutral with no significant recent trend.
Wall Street analysts forecast IBP stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for IBP is 245.57 USD with a low forecast of 203 USD and a high forecast of 275 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
9 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast IBP stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for IBP is 245.57 USD with a low forecast of 203 USD and a high forecast of 275 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
1 Buy
6 Hold
2 Sell
Hold
Current: 323.090
Low
203
Averages
245.57
High
275
Current: 323.090
Low
203
Averages
245.57
High
275
Jefferies
Philip Ng
Hold
maintain
$230 -> $259
AI Analysis
2025-12-15
Reason
Jefferies
Philip Ng
Price Target
$230 -> $259
AI Analysis
2025-12-15
maintain
Hold
Reason
Jefferies analyst Philip Ng raised the firm's price target on Installed Building Products to $259 from $230 and keeps a Hold rating on the shares. With residential construction expected to remain soft to start 2026, the firm prefers consumer facing companies that have pricing power, the analyst tells investors in a 2026 building products outlook note.
Wells Fargo
Sam Reid
Equal Weight
initiated
$275
2025-11-17
Reason
Wells Fargo
Sam Reid
Price Target
$275
2025-11-17
initiated
Equal Weight
Reason
Wells Fargo analyst Sam Reid initiated coverage of Installed Building Products with an Equal Weight rating and $275 price target. The firm says Installed Building Products is perhaps one of best-run distributors in its growing coverage, with attractive roll-up dynamics. But valuation and new residential leverage keep Wells on the fence.
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