Should I Buy IBKR? IBKR 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Interactive Brokers Group Inc (IBKR) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Buy

Latest Price

74.590

1 Day change

7.34%

52 Week Range

78.800

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/04

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Buy now: IBKR is in a short-term pullback within a broader uptrend (bullish moving-average stack), offering a favorable entry near support with multiple near-term growth catalysts.
Upside vs Street targets: Recent raised targets ($82–$84) imply ~11%–14% upside from ~$73.6.
Sentiment mix but net positive: Hedge funds are accumulating strongly, options positioning leans bullish, and January operating metrics were very strong; the main offset is elevated insider selling.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
- AI Stock Picker: No signal on given stock today.
- SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.
Politicians / Congress: No recent congress trading data available; no politician activity provided.

Technical Analysis

Trend: Uptrend on higher timeframes indicated by SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200 (bullish structure), but price is currently in a downswing/pullback.
Momentum: MACD histogram -0.324 and negatively expanding → bearish momentum still in control short term.
RSI: RSI(6) = 37.6 → weak/near-oversold behavior, consistent with a pullback that may be closer to stabilizing than extending.
Key levels:
- Support: S1 72.64 (near-term line in the sand), then S2 70.96.
- Resistance/Pivot: Pivot 75.35; reclaiming this improves near-term setup.
- Upside levels: R1 78.05, R2 79.73.
Pattern odds (provided): Similar-pattern study suggests 80% chance of gains: +1.85% (1D), +3.94% (1W), +10.5% (1M).

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Positioning (OI PCR 0.67): More call open interest than puts → bullish/constructive sentiment.
Flow (Vol PCR 0.92): Volume closer to balanced, slightly call-favoring → mildly bullish to neutral near term.
Activity level: Today’s option volume is ~39.7% of 30-day avg → not a “crowded” options chase today.
Volatility: IV 30d 41.7 vs HV 34.7 with IV percentile ~47.8 → options are moderately priced (not extreme fear/greed).

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Strong January operating metrics: DARTs +27% YoY, client accounts +32% YoY to ~4.54M, client equity +38% YoY to >$814B.
- Margin balances expanding: Reported margin loan growth (figures cited across items) signals increased trading engagement/leveraged activity.
- Product expansion: Canada RRIF launch broadens retirement offering; ForecastTrader/prediction markets adds new engagement channel.
- Institutional behavior: Hedge funds buying with reported buying amount +132.92% QoQ.
- Macro sensitivity: Broker volumes often benefit from volatility/participation; recent notes highlight constructive conditions going into 2026.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Insider selling pressure: Insiders are selling, with selling amount reported +715.57% over the last month (can weigh on sentiment).
- Near-term technical weakness: Bearish/expanding negative MACD indicates the pullback may not be fully finished.
- Rate backdrop risk: Management commentary (via analyst notes) mentions net interest income benefiting from lag effects; a faster/greater rate decline could reduce that tailwind over time.
- Market tape: Broad market was down (S&P 500 -0.48%), and IBKR fell -1.99% on the session—risk appetite is not uniformly supportive day-to-day.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2025/Q4
- Revenue: $2.658B, +14.18% YoY (healthy top-line growth).
- Net income: $284M, +30.88% YoY (profit growth outpacing revenue).
- EPS: $0.63, +26.0% YoY (solid per-share growth).
- Gross margin: 58.39%, +6.86% YoY (improving profitability profile).
Overall: Quarter shows accelerating profitability and margin expansion, consistent with the strong January client/trading activity updates.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent trend: Multiple firms raised price targets in Dec–Jan and reiterated bullish stances (Overweight/Outperform/Buy).
Key updates:
- BMO: PT $82 (from $80), Outperform; highlighted solid beat beyond tax tailwind.
- Barclays: PT raised sequentially to $83 (from $82), Overweight; cited confident tone and durable account growth.
- BofA: PT $84 (from $77), Buy.
Wall Street pros: Strong account growth narrative, solid earnings beats, improving margins, constructive market conditions.
Wall Street cons: Some sensitivity to rate-driven net interest income dynamics; insiders selling is a sentiment headwind even with positive fundamentals.

7 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast IBKR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for IBKR is 81.43 USD with a low forecast of 75 USD and a high forecast of 91 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

6 Buy

1 Hold

0 Sell

Strong Buy

Current: 69.490

Low

Averages

81.43

High

Current: 69.490

Low

Averages

81.43

High

BMO Capital

Outperform

maintain

$80 -> $82

AI Analysis

2026-01-21

Reason

BMO Capital

Price Target

$80 -> $82

AI Analysis

2026-01-21

maintain

Outperform

Reason

BMO Capital raised the firm's price target on Interactive Brokers to $82 from $80 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares after its Q4 earnings beat. Taxes were a 5c tailwind, but pretax earnings beat consensus by 12c/share, so the results are seen as "solid", the analyst tells investors in a research note. Net interest income also benefited from the lag from lower rates to asset yields, the firm added.

Barclays

Overweight

maintain

$82 -> $83

2026-01-21

Reason

Barclays

Price Target

$82 -> $83

2026-01-21

maintain

Overweight

Reason

Barclays raised the firm's price target on Interactive Brokers to $83 from $82 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. The company's Q4 earnings beat by 9%, with a sales and margin beat, and a lower tax rate adding a couple pennies. Interactive's tone on the enrings call "was quite confident, with management suggesting there is no reason account growth should slow," the analyst tells investors in a research note.

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IBKR Should I Buy

IBKR Should I Buy

Should You Buy Interactive Brokers Group Inc (IBKR) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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