Should I Buy HWBK? HWBK 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Hawthorn Bancshares Inc (HWBK) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

34.810

1 Day change

-3.09%

52 Week Range

36.490

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/04

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Not a good buy right now for an impatient investor: price is extended (RSI high) and sitting near/above first resistance, which increases near-term pullback risk.
Trend is bullish, but upside to next resistance (R2 ~36.74) looks limited versus the model’s weaker 1-month setup (-6.05% expected).
With earnings on 2026-02-11 after-hours and no supporting Intellectia buy signals, the risk/reward favors waiting rather than chasing at current levels.

Technical Analysis

Trend: Bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) with momentum improving.
MACD: Histogram +0.442 and expanding → bullish momentum intact.
RSI(6): 76.21 → overbought/extended; odds of a short-term cooldown are elevated.
Key levels: Pivot 33.897; Support S1 32.14; Resistance R1 35.655 (now cleared); next Resistance R2 36.74 (near-term target/ceiling).
Pattern-based forward view: ~+1.99% next week but ~-6.05% next month → suggests limited immediate upside with poorer intermediate follow-through.

Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals

AI Stock Picker: no signal on given stock today.
SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.

Positive Catalysts

- Strong Q4 print (profit and revenue up YoY) supports fundamental sentiment.
- Bullish technical structure (stacked moving averages) suggests buyers remain in control.
- Upcoming earnings (2026-02-11 after-hours) could act as a catalyst if results beat expectations.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

increases probability of a pullback at/near resistance.
versus downside implied by the 1-month pattern expectation (-6.05%).

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2025/Q4.
Revenue: 17.594M, +4.98% YoY (steady growth).
Net income: 6.185M, +34.54% YoY (profitability improved meaningfully).
EPS: 3.43, +419.70% YoY (very strong YoY jump, likely influenced by mix/one-offs; still directionally positive).
Overall: fundamentals improved in Q4, but the current price setup looks stretched short-term.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No analyst rating or price target change data provided in the dataset.
Wall Street-style pro view: improving profitability and steady revenue growth in a small-cap bank can support rerating if credit quality and margins hold.
Wall Street-style con view: small-cap regional banks can be sensitive to rates/deposit costs and sentiment; limited visibility/coverage can reduce catalyst-driven inflows.
Politician/congress check: No recent congress trading data available in the last 90 days.

Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast HWBK stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for HWBK is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

Buy

Hold

Sell

Current: 35.920

Low

Averages

High