Near-term setup: after a +3.92% close, the stock is extended into resistance—better suited to “hold/trim strength” than chasing a new entry.
Options Data
Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Positioning (Open Interest): Put/Call OI = 1.33 (more puts than calls outstanding), suggesting cautious/bearish hedging bias.
Volume: Option volume is effectively 0 today, so there’s limited same-day confirmation from flow.
Volatility: IV (30d) 37.34 vs historical vol 25.98 implies options are pricing elevated near-term movement (consistent with event/earnings risk).
Technical Summary
Sell
9
Buy
5
Positive Catalysts
Earnings catalyst: QDEC 2025 earnings scheduled 2026-02-05 after hours (could validate the recent momentum if results/guidance beat).
Tape/momentum: MACD strengthening and bullish moving-average stack supports the uptrend.
Street narrative tailwinds: logistics/trucking cycle positioning improving (multiple firms framed 2026 as better risk/reward).
Pattern-based odds provided: model suggests positive drift probabilities over 1W/1M (though not guaranteed).
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
price pressing into R2 (52.
increases odds of a near-term pullback.
signals caution and can coincide with downside protection demand.
Financial Performance
Latest reported quarter: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: $934.496M, down -5.31% YoY (top-line still contracting).
Profitability: Net income $28.554M, up +20.98% YoY; EPS $0.47, up +20.51% YoY (earnings improving despite lower revenue, suggesting cost control/mix benefits).
Takeaway: fundamentals show margin/earnings resilience, but the key question is re-accelerating revenue—likely central to the upcoming QDEC 2025 report/guidance.
Price targets raised into 2026 outlook: many moved from ~$40–$44 up to ~$46–$55.
Pros (Wall St. view): improving transport cycle setup, potential share/earnings leverage as freight conditions normalize, and company positioned as a high-quality beneficiary in the space.
Cons (Wall St. view): several notes explicitly caution against “chasing” into softer seasonality; with HUBG near/above many targets (except the high end ~$55), near-term upside appears more capped.
Wall Street analysts forecast HUBG stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for HUBG is 45.64 USD with a low forecast of 38 USD and a high forecast of 55 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
14 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast HUBG stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for HUBG is 45.64 USD with a low forecast of 38 USD and a high forecast of 55 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
8 Buy
6 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 51.330
Low
38
Averages
45.64
High
55
Current: 51.330
Low
38
Averages
45.64
High
55
Baird
Daniel Moore
Outperform -> Neutral
downgrade
$47 -> $29
AI Analysis
2026-02-06
New
Reason
Baird
Daniel Moore
Price Target
$47 -> $29
AI Analysis
2026-02-06
New
downgrade
Outperform -> Neutral
Reason
Baird analyst Daniel Moore downgraded Hub Group to Neutral from Outperform with a price target of $29, down from $47. The company identified an error that resulted in the understatement of purchased transportation costs and accounts payable in the first nine months of 2025, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Baird says Hub cannot yet estimate what the resulting increase to purchased transportation and warehousing costs and accounts payable will be. As a result, it expects Q1, Q2 and Q3 financial results for 2025 to be restated.
Stifel
Hold
to
Sell
downgrade
$52 -> $27
2026-02-06
New
Reason
Stifel
Price Target
$52 -> $27
2026-02-06
New
downgrade
Hold
to
Sell
Reason
Stifel downgraded Hub Group to Sell from Hold with a price target of $27, down from $52. The company announced partial Q4 results, delaying the full report of audited earnings due to a material misstatement in historical earnings, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Stifel assumes the issue persisted into Q4 and creates a "materially lower margin jumping off point for future earnings." The firm's "best estimation of a conservative, yet reasonable" 2027 earnings per share benchmark is $1.75, which lowers its target price to $27 and yields 47% downside from the current share levels.
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