Should I Buy HRZN? HRZN 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Horizon Technology Finance Corp (HRZN) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Buy

Latest Price

6.620

1 Day change

2.64%

52 Week Range

9.740

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/04

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Buy now for a near-term bounce/swing: price is sitting just above key support (S1 ~6.582) with RSI near oversold, which favors a quick rebound setup.
Options sentiment is bullish (low put/call ratios), supporting a risk-on bias despite the weak tape.
Upside is likely capped near resistance (R1 ~6.719, R2 ~6.762) and the Street PT (UBS $6.50) is already below the current price—so this is more of a tactical buy than a “re-rate higher” story.

Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals

AI Stock Picker: no signal on given stock today.
SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.

Technical Analysis

Trend/Momentum: MACD histogram is negative (-0.00982) and bearishly expanding, indicating downside momentum is still present.
RSI: RSI(6) ~33.06 is near oversold, which often precedes short-term mean reversion (bounce) rather than continued clean trending downside.
Moving averages: converging MAs suggest compression/indecision—a setup that often resolves with a sharp move once support/resistance breaks.
Key levels:
- Support: 6.582 (S1) then 6.539 (S2)
- Pivot: 6.651 (a reclaim above improves the immediate setup)
- Resistance/targets: 6.719 (R1) then 6.762 (R2)
Pattern-based forward look: modeled probabilities imply soft next-day/week but positive 1-month tilt (+5.31% next month).

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Positioning/Sentiment: Put/Call ratios are low (OI 0.42; Volume 0.38) → options flow/positioning skews bullish.
Volatility: 30D IV ~29.67 vs historical vol ~16.89 → options are priced rich, consistent with elevated uncertainty.
IV context: IV percentile ~79.28 (high vs recent distribution), while IV rank ~14.95 (not extreme vs yearly range) → volatility is elevated recently, but not at the most extreme annual levels.
Liquidity/Activity: today’s volume 36 vs 5D/10D avg (51/76.6) → not a crowded options day, but call OI (2106) > put OI (879) supports a bullish tilt.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

growth** in revenue, net income, and EPS suggests operating momentum vs prior year.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

which can limit incremental upside from “PT-chasing” buyers.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter provided: 2025/Q3
Revenue: $44.31M, +121.50% YoY (strong top-line acceleration).
Net Income: $30.72M, +322.12% YoY (profitability surge vs prior year).
EPS: $0.67, +235.00% YoY (material earnings expansion).
Gross Margin: 98.04%, +3.12% YoY (margin profile remains extremely high and improved).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent action (2025-11-19): UBS (Doug Harter) raised PT to $6.50 from $6.25 and maintained Buy.
Trend: the latest update is a positive revision (PT raise) with a continued Buy stance.
Wall Street pro view (pros): improved target and Buy rating imply confidence in fundamentals/earnings power.
Wall Street con view (cons): PT below current price suggests the Street may view the stock as near fair value in the near term, limiting upside enthusiasm right now.

3 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast HRZN stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for HRZN is 6.67 USD with a low forecast of 6 USD and a high forecast of 7.5 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

1 Buy

1 Hold

1 Sell

Hold

Current: 6.450

Low

Averages

6.67

High

7.5

Current: 6.450

Low

Averages

6.67

High

7.5

UBS

Doug Harter

Buy

maintain

AI Analysis

2025-11-19

Reason

UBS

Doug Harter

Price Target

AI Analysis

2025-11-19

maintain

Buy

Reason

UBS analyst Doug Harter raised the firm's price target on Horizon Technology to $6.50 from $6.25 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares.

UBS

Neutral

downgrade

2025-10-14

Reason

UBS

Price Target

2025-10-14

downgrade

Neutral

Reason

UBS lowered the firm's price target on Horizon Technology to $6.25 from $7 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares.

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HRZN Should I Buy

HRZN Should I Buy

Should You Buy Horizon Technology Finance Corp (HRZN) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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