Should I Buy HLIO? HLIO 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Helios Technologies Inc (HLIO) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

72.520

1 Day change

3.57%

52 Week Range

73.450

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/04

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Not a good buy right now for an impatient investor: price is extended (RSI very high) and sitting just below a key resistance zone (~72.55), which makes the near-term risk/reward unattractive.
Upside looks limited versus the most recent cluster of price targets ($74) unless the stock breaks and holds above ~72.55; meanwhile, earnings (2026-02-26 AH) adds event risk.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
AI Stock Picker: no signal on given stock today.
SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.
Net: HOLD / do not chase here; the setup is strong-trend but late-stage/overbought at current levels.

Technical Analysis

Trend: Bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) with positive, expanding MACD histogram (0.296) indicating momentum continuation.
Overbought/extension: RSI_6 at 78.19 suggests the stock is stretched; near-term pullback/consolidation risk is elevated.
Key levels: Pivot 67.33; Resistance R1 70.56 (now reclaimed), R2 72.55 (current price 72.13 is just below). Support S1 64.10.
Price action context: Stock is up strongly into resistance; pattern stats imply muted next-day move (~+0.21%) and a softer next-week bias (-1.82%), with better 1-month odds (+3.55%), favoring waiting for a reset rather than buying immediately.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Positioning/sentiment: Put/Call OI ratio 0.21 (calls dominate) and put volume effectively zero today—options market skew is bullish.
Volatility: 30D IV ~49.72 vs historical vol ~35.42 (options priced rich vs realized), but IV percentile 23.51 / IV rank 7.74 indicates IV is low relative to its own history.
Liquidity/flow: Very low daily volume (7 contracts) and call OI (1143) vs put OI (235); sentiment read is positive, but based on thin trading today.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Product/news: Added CODESYS functionality to OpenView platform (2026-02-02), improving programmability and potentially strengthening customer value proposition.
- Analyst support is strengthening: multiple recent target raises and new coverage with Overweight, implying improving institutional narrative.
- Technical momentum: Bullish moving averages and rising MACD support continuation if resistance breaks.
- Potential catalyst ahead: QDEC 2025 earnings on 2026-02-26 (AH); a beat/raise could be the trigger for a clean breakout above ~72.55.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Insider selling: insiders are selling and the selling amount increased ~201.88% over the last month—negative signal versus chasing near highs.
- Overbought near resistance: RSI is elevated and price is just below R2 (~72.55), increasing probability of a pullback or churn.
- Earnings risk (2026-02-26 AH): with price already near raised targets (~$74), guidance or margins could disappoint even if revenue holds up.
- Near-term statistical bias: similar-pattern projection shows weakness over the next week (-1.82%), inconsistent with a “must-buy-now” entry.

Financial Performance

Latest reported quarter: 2025/Q3.
Growth: Revenue rose to $220.3M (+13.26% YoY), showing solid top-line momentum.
Profitability: Net income fell to $10.3M (-9.65% YoY) and EPS to $0.31 (-8.82% YoY), indicating earnings leverage has not yet translated despite revenue growth.
Margins: Gross margin improved to 29.69 (+9.80% YoY), a constructive trend (better pricing/mix and/or cost control), but not yet enough to lift EPS YoY.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent trend: clear improvement—targets raised and coverage initiated positively.
2026-01-26 KeyBanc: Overweight; PT raised to $74 from $64 (expects end-market improvement + operating leverage).
2026-01-23 Stifel: Buy; PT raised to $74 from $65.
2026-01-16 JPMorgan: Initiated Overweight; PT $80 (high conviction around culture/ops improvements and organic growth).
Wall Street pros: improving end markets, operating leverage, stronger execution narrative.
Wall Street cons: with the stock near ~$72, much of the near-term upside to the $74 targets is largely realized; further upside depends on execution and a post-earnings re-rate.

2 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast HLIO stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for HLIO is 65 USD with a low forecast of 65 USD and a high forecast of 65 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

2 Buy

0 Hold

0 Sell

Moderate Buy

Current: 70.020

Low

Averages

High

Current: 70.020

Low

Averages

High

KeyBanc

Jeffrey Hammond

Overweight

maintain

$64 -> $74

AI Analysis

2026-01-26

Reason

KeyBanc

Jeffrey Hammond

Price Target

$64 -> $74

AI Analysis

2026-01-26

maintain

Overweight

Reason

KeyBanc analyst Jeffrey Hammond raised the firm's price target on Helios Technologies to $74 from $64 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. The firm thinks its new price target more accurately reflects the estimate upside driven by a combination of emerging end market improvement and high leverage on volume growth from self-help initiatives.

Stifel

Buy

maintain

$65 -> $74

2026-01-23

Reason

Stifel

Price Target

$65 -> $74

2026-01-23

maintain

Buy

Reason

Stifel raised the firm's price target on Helios Technologies to $74 from $65 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares as part of the firm's Q4 preview for its diversified industrials coverage.

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HLIO Should I Buy

HLIO Should I Buy

Should You Buy Helios Technologies Inc (HLIO) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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