Should I Buy HDSN? HDSN 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Hudson Technologies Inc (HDSN) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

7.410

1 Day change

2.77%

52 Week Range

10.520

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/04

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Not a good buy right now for an impatient entry: price is pressing resistance (~7.60–7.76) while short-term momentum looks overextended.
Despite strong recent fundamentals (Q3’25 growth) and generally bullish options positioning (low put/call OI), near-term odds from the provided pattern study skew slightly negative over 1-week to 1-month.
Best risk/reward would be on a pullback toward ~7.35 (pivot) or ~7.09 (S1); at current levels, upside is nearer-term capped unless a fresh catalyst hits.

Technical Analysis

Trend/Momentum: MACD histogram is positive (0.0368) and expanding → bullish momentum still present.
Overbought risk: RSI(6)=75.88 → stretched/overbought conditions, increasing pullback probability.
Moving averages: “Converging” MAs suggest consolidation/transition rather than a clean trending move.
Levels: Pivot 7.347; Resistance R1 7.603 (price ~7.605 is basically at/through R1), next R2 7.761; Support S1 7.091, S2 6.933.
Practical read: Buying into/above R1 with overbought RSI is a poorer entry for someone who doesn’t want to wait; better entries usually come closer to pivot/support.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Positioning/Sentiment: Open interest put/call ratio at 0.31 is bullish (more call OI vs puts).
Activity: Option volume is extremely low (total volume 3; put volume 0), so today’s volume-based sentiment is not very informative.
Volatility: 30D IV ~56.86 vs historical vol ~27.21; IV percentile 83.27 → options are priced for elevated uncertainty (event/catalyst risk).

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Q3’25 fundamentals were strong (revenue +19.48% YoY; net income +58.52% YoY; EPS +58.82% YoY; gross margin improved).
- Existing Defense Logistics Agency (DLA) contract remains effective through July 2026, reducing near-term revenue interruption risk.
- Options open-interest skew (low put/call) leans bullish, suggesting investors are positioned for upside.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Contract headline risk: the $210M award was rescinded for reevaluation after a bid protest; this can create ongoing uncertainty and headline-driven volatility.
- Technical setup is stretched: RSI is overbought and price is at resistance, which often leads to short-term mean reversion.
- Pattern-based outlook provided: expected drift is slightly negative over the next week (-0.08%) and next month (-2.48%), which is not ideal for an immediate buy.
- No Intellectia proprietary “strong buy” triggers today (no AI Stock Picker; no SwingMax entry).

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: 74.012M, +19.48% YoY (solid top-line growth).
Net income: 12.374M, +58.52% YoY (profits growing faster than revenue).
EPS: 0.27, +58.82% YoY (strong earnings leverage).
Gross margin: 30.87, up materially YoY (improving profitability profile).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent trend: mixed/softening.
Craig-Hallum (2025-11-06): downgraded to Hold from Buy; PT $9.
Canaccord (2025-11-10): reiterated Buy; trimmed PT to $10 from $10.50.
Wall Street pros/cons view:
- Pros: earnings/margin momentum and pricing/volume tailwinds highlighted; upside to $9–$10 targets implies meaningful potential from ~$7.6.
- Cons: at least one firm moved to Hold (more cautious stance), and the contract protest/review adds uncertainty that can cap multiples in the near term.
Influential buying/selling: No recent congress trading data available; hedge funds and insiders show neutral activity (no notable recent trend).

3 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast HDSN stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for HDSN is 9.5 USD with a low forecast of 9 USD and a high forecast of 10 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

1 Buy

2 Hold

0 Sell

Moderate Buy

Current: 7.210

Low

Averages

9.5

High

Current: 7.210

Low

Averages

9.5

High

Canaccord

Buy

maintain

$10

AI Analysis

2025-11-10

Reason

Canaccord

Price Target

$10

AI Analysis

2025-11-10

maintain

Buy

Reason

Canaccord lowered the firm's price target on Hudson Technologies to $10 from $10.50 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm said the top-line results beat expectations as revenue growth was driven by higher average pricing for refrigerants sold coupled with increased sales volumes (drove 18% of growth). Better volumes were partially due to typical Q2 business moving to the right following a historically slow start to Hudson's nine-month selling season, resulting from cooler temperatures.

Craig-Hallum

Buy

Hold

downgrade

2025-11-06

Reason

Craig-Hallum

Price Target

2025-11-06

downgrade

Buy

Hold

Reason

Craig-Hallum downgraded Hudson Technologies to Hold from Buy with a $9 price target.

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HDSN Should I Buy

HDSN Should I Buy

Should You Buy Hudson Technologies Inc (HDSN) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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