Should I Buy HAYW? HAYW 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Hayward Holdings Inc (HAYW) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Buy

Latest Price

16.710

1 Day change

4.57%

52 Week Range

17.730

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/04

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Buy now (impatient entry is acceptable): price is sitting right on the pivot (~16.20) after a strong +4.74% regular-session move, giving a reasonable near-term upside setup into 16.81 (R1) and 17.19 (R2).
Momentum is stabilizing, not overheating: RSI is neutral (~50.7) and MACD is still negative but contracting, consistent with downside pressure fading.
Fundamentals support the tape: latest quarter shows solid YoY acceleration in revenue, margins, EPS, and net income.
No confirming proprietary “strong buy” trigger today: Intellectia signals are absent, so this is a discretionary technical/fundamental buy rather than a model-driven one.

Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals

AI Stock Picker: No signal on given stock today.
SwingMax: No signal on given stock today.

Technical Analysis

Trend/Momentum: MACD histogram is negative (-0.0838) but negatively contracting → bearish momentum is weakening.
RSI: RSI(6) at 50.7 (neutral) → room to move without an overbought constraint.
Moving averages: Converging MAs → consolidation/inflection zone; typically precedes a directional move.
Key levels: Pivot 16.195 (price ~16.21 is slightly above). Resistance 16.812 (R1) then 17.193 (R2). Support 15.578 (S1) then 15.197 (S2).
Pattern-based odds (provided): 70% probability of gains with estimated move **+5.8% next week** and ~+9.32% next month, aligning with a bullish swing bias.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Positioning/Sentiment: Very low put/call OI ratio (0.22) suggests a call-heavy / bullish skew in outstanding positioning.
Volume signal is weak today: total volume is extremely low (calls=1, puts=0), so today’s flow is not a strong confirmation.
Volatility: 30D IV 55.46 vs historical vol 22.25 → options are pricing elevated uncertainty; IV percentile 81.27 indicates IV is high relative to its recent range.
Interpretation: Market is positioned bullish via OI, but today’s options tape is too thin to treat as a strong real-time sentiment read.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Earnings catalyst ahead: QDEC 2025 earnings on 2026-03-02 (pre-market) with EPS estimate 0.27 could act as a run-up catalyst.
- Recent financial momentum (latest reported quarter): strong YoY EPS and net income growth with improving gross margin supports a higher price floor.
- Technical setup: price holding around the pivot (~16.20) with weakening negative MACD momentum supports a potential push to 16.81–17.19.
- Ownership/trading trends: hedge funds and insiders are neutral (no notable selling pressure flagged).

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- No fresh news catalysts this week: absence of headlines can reduce urgency/volume follow-through after the recent pop.
- MACD still below zero: despite improvement, trend confirmation is not fully bullish yet.
- Elevated implied volatility: IV is high relative to realized volatility, implying the market expects larger swings; this can coincide with choppier price action.
- Thin options volume today: limits confidence in near-term sentiment confirmation from the options market.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2025/Q3
Revenue: 244.336M, +7.37% YoY (top-line growth re-accelerating).
Net income: 24.028M, +45.62% YoY (strong operating leverage).
EPS: 0.11, +57.14% YoY (meaningful per-share improvement).
Gross margin: 48.4%, up +2.83% YoY (profitability trend improving).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No analyst rating/price-target change data was provided in the feed, so recent upgrades/downgrades and target revisions can’t be confirmed here.
Wall Street-style pros (based on provided fundamentals): improving margins, strong EPS/net income growth, and a defined upcoming earnings catalyst.
Wall Street-style cons (based on provided market/positioning data): no near-term news flow and technical trend is not yet fully confirmed bullish (MACD still negative).

4 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast HAYW stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for HAYW is 17 USD with a low forecast of 15 USD and a high forecast of 19 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

2 Buy

1 Hold

1 Sell

Hold

Current: 15.980

Low

Averages

High

Current: 15.980

Low

Averages

High

Stifel

Buy

maintain

$18

AI Analysis

2025-09-05

Reason

Stifel

Price Target

$18

AI Analysis

2025-09-05

maintain

Buy

Reason

Stifel raised the firm's price target on Hayward to $18 from $17.50 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. Ahead of hosting management for a full day of meetings on Monday September 8, the analyst voices the belief that shares continue to undervalue the company's pricing power and ability to build upon its top tier margin structure.

Wolfe Research

Nigel Coe

Buy

Hold

Downgrades

n/a

2025-04-03

Reason

Wolfe Research

Nigel Coe

Price Target

n/a

2025-04-03

Downgrades

Buy

Hold

Reason

Wolfe Research downgraded Hayward to Peer Perform from Outperform.

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HAYW Should I Buy

HAYW Should I Buy

Should You Buy Hayward Holdings Inc (HAYW) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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