Trend: Bullish structure (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) indicates the broader uptrend is intact.
Momentum: MACD histogram is negative (-0.0647) but contracting, suggesting downside momentum is fading, not reversing strongly higher yet.
RSI(6) ~58: neutral-to-slightly bullish; not oversold (no obvious “forced bounce” setup).
Key levels: Pivot ~121.6 is the immediate line in the sand; resistance at ~124.3 then ~126.0. A clean break and hold above ~124.3 would improve the near-term long setup; failure there raises odds of a pullback toward ~121.6 then ~118.9.
Quant pattern read-through: similar-pattern stats imply mild negative drift (-1.43% next week; -1.35% next month), aligning with “uptrend but near-term consolidation/pullback risk.”
Options Data
Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Sentiment (Open Interest): Put/Call OI ratio 4.9 is notably high (puts 2072 vs calls 423), signaling heavy downside hedging/defensive positioning.
Sentiment (Volume): Put/Call volume ratio 0.0 (puts volume 0; calls volume 3) shows today’s flow is thin and not confirming strong bearish aggression.
Volatility: 30D IV ~36% vs historical vol ~19% suggests elevated implied risk pricing into catalysts (notably upcoming earnings).
Technical Summary
Sell
5
Buy
10
Positive Catalysts
Contract win: Selected for a ~$20M Highway 101 rehabilitation project (Monterey County, CA), starting late Q1 2026 through Q1 2027—supports backlog/visibility narrative.
Underlying operating trend (from prior quarter data): improving margins and profitability trends (see financial performance).
Street support: DA Davidson maintains Buy with a higher target (recently raised).
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
increases the odds of near-term rejection without a clear momentum trigger.
Takeaway: fundamentals were trending positively into Q3; the next key check is whether FY2025 results (reported 2026-02-12) confirm continued margin/backlog strength.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent trend: price targets have moved up overall, but ratings are mixed.
Goldman Sachs (2026-01-28): Neutral; PT raised to $124 (from $109). View: selective on E&C at near-high valuations; prefers durable margin improvement; cautious on peak-valuation names.
Goldman Sachs (2025-11-24): Initiated Neutral; PT $109. Noted portfolio shift away from high-risk design-build, but said estimates set a high bar.
DA Davidson (2025-11-11): Buy; PT raised to $130 (from $125). Emphasized improving margins/cash flow, new CAP highs, and healthy 2026 visibility.
Cons: valuation/expectations risk ("high bar"), and near-term catalyst risk with earnings imminent; GS remains Neutral despite higher PT.
Politicians / influential figures: No recent congress trading data available (and no other influential trading activity provided).
Wall Street analysts forecast GVA stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GVA is 119.04 USD with a low forecast of 108.08 USD and a high forecast of 130 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
2 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast GVA stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GVA is 119.04 USD with a low forecast of 108.08 USD and a high forecast of 130 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
1 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 125.830
Low
108.08
Averages
119.04
High
130
Current: 125.830
Low
108.08
Averages
119.04
High
130
Goldman Sachs
Neutral
maintain
$109 -> $124
AI Analysis
2026-01-28
Reason
Goldman Sachs
Price Target
$109 -> $124
AI Analysis
2026-01-28
maintain
Neutral
Reason
Goldman Sachs raised the firm's price target on Granite to $124 from $109 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. Ahead of Q4 earnings, the outlook for Engineering & Construction remains selective, with valuations near highs, mixed price/cost signals, and estimates generally in line to slightly below consensus, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Preference is given to companies with durable margin improvements and upside to expectations, while caution centers on peak-valuation names reliant on future bookings, amid ongoing debate around AI's impact, data center spending, and labor-driven margins, Goldman says.
Goldman Sachs
Neutral
initiated
$109
2025-11-24
Reason
Goldman Sachs
Price Target
$109
2025-11-24
initiated
Neutral
Reason
Goldman Sachs initiated coverage of Granite with a Neutral rating and $109 price target. The company has successfully transitioned its portfolio away from high-risk design-build projects, but consensus estimates are setting up a high bar, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
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