Not a good buy right now for an impatient entry: price is pressing into near-term resistance (~$10.20) with short-term momentum looking stretched.
Trend is bullish (moving averages stacked up), but with earnings after-hours on 2026-02-09, risk/reward is skewed toward a headline-driven gap rather than a clean technical entry.
Options sentiment is very bullish (call-heavy), yet IV is elevated—often signaling crowded positioning into the event.
No Intellectia buy signals today (AI Stock Picker / SwingMax), so there’s no proprietary edge suggesting immediate entry.
Net: Hold / wait, rather than chase at resistance into earnings.
Technical Analysis
Trend: Bullish structure with SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200, confirming an ongoing uptrend.
Momentum: MACD histogram positive and expanding (bullish continuation signal).
Event pricing: 30D IV ~67.5% vs HV ~34.7% and IV percentile ~74 → options are pricing a large move (consistent with upcoming earnings).
Activity spike: Today’s option volume is far above the 30D average (reported ~829% of average), signaling heightened attention into the catalyst.
Takeaway: Options market is leaning bullish, but elevated IV suggests the move is “paid for” and positioning may be crowded into earnings.
Technical Summary
Sell
5
Buy
10
Positive Catalysts
Options flow is strongly bullish (call-heavy), implying traders are positioning for upside.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
Immediate resistance overhead (~$10.20) and short-term overbought RSI increase the odds of a near-term pullback if momentum fades.
Earnings gap risk: with elevated IV, a miss/guidance disappointment can reprice the stock quickly.
Fundamentals still show pressure: revenue down YoY and gross margin down YoY in the latest reported quarter.
No supportive “smart money” confirmation: hedge funds and insiders shown as neutral; no meaningful recent trend.
No recent congress trading data available (no political/influential buying signal identified).
Financial Performance
Latest quarter provided: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: $4.645B, -3.71% YoY (top-line decline).
Profitability: Net income and EPS improved sharply YoY in percentage terms, but both remain deeply negative (Net Income -$2.195B; EPS -7.62), indicating turnaround is not yet fully reflected in bottom-line health.
Gross margin: 18.17%, down ~7.06% YoY, suggesting margin pressure persists.
What matters next: Q4 (reported 2026-02-09) needs to show clearer margin and earnings normalization to sustain the uptrend.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent rating/target actions are mixed but slightly improving on targets:
2026-01-22: Deutsche Bank Buy, PT raised to $12 (from $10).
2025-11-28: Morgan Stanley Underweight, PT raised to $7.30 (from $6.88) on quicker margin recovery/self-help.
2025-11-11: Citi Neutral, PT cut to $9 (from $10) post-Q3.
Wall Street “pros” view: turnaround/margin recovery potential and self-help traction; upside to DB’s $12 if Q4 confirms.
Wall Street “cons” view: still challenged fundamentals (declining revenue/margins, losses) and skepticism reflected in Underweight/Neutral coverage; execution risk remains high into earnings.
Wall Street analysts forecast GT stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GT is 9.86 USD with a low forecast of 7.3 USD and a high forecast of 13 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
5 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast GT stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GT is 9.86 USD with a low forecast of 7.3 USD and a high forecast of 13 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
3 Buy
1 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 10.220
Low
7.3
Averages
9.86
High
13
Current: 10.220
Low
7.3
Averages
9.86
High
13
Deutsche Bank
Buy
maintain
$10 -> $12
AI Analysis
2026-01-22
Reason
Deutsche Bank
Price Target
$10 -> $12
AI Analysis
2026-01-22
maintain
Buy
Reason
Deutsche Bank raised the firm's price target on Goodyear Tire to $12 from $10 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares as part of a Q4 earnings preview.
Morgan Stanley
Javier Martinez de Olcoz Cerdan
Underweight
maintain
2025-11-28
Reason
Morgan Stanley
Javier Martinez de Olcoz Cerdan
Price Target
2025-11-28
maintain
Underweight
Reason
Morgan Stanley analyst Javier Martinez de Olcoz Cerdan raised the firm's price target on Goodyear Tire to $7.30 from $6.88 and keeps an Underweight rating on the shares after incorporating Q3 numbers into Goodyear's model and lifting its 2025-27 EPS estimates by 5%-9% on a quicker margin recovery thanks to self-help efforts.
Unlock Full Analyst Thesis， Get the complete breakdown of rating reason for GT
