Not a good buy right now for an impatient investor: price is sitting at/just above key support (~58.18) while momentum is still bearish (MACD histogram negative and deteriorating).
A fast bounce trade is possible only if 58.18 support holds intraday; otherwise downside risk opens toward ~55.34.
Sentiment inputs (hedge-fund buying + bullish options skew) are supportive, but they are currently outweighed by weakening technicals and soft profitability trends.
Trend/Momentum: Bearish short-term momentum; MACD histogram at -0.414 and negatively expanding indicates downside pressure is increasing.
RSI: RSI(6) ~35.35 (near oversold-ish but still “neutral” by the provided classification), which can allow a reflex bounce but is not a buy signal by itself.
Moving averages: Converging MAs suggests indecision/transition, but current momentum favors bears until price reclaims higher levels.
Key levels:
Support: S1 ~58.18 (very near current pre-market ~58.39); next S2 ~55.34.
Resistance/Pivot: Pivot ~62.78 (a key “line in the sand” for regaining bullish control); then R1 ~67.38.
Probability snapshot (pattern analogs): Mildly positive edge, but modest magnitude (next day +1.32% with 60% chance), not strong enough to override current bearish MACD.
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Positioning/Sentiment: OI put-call ratio 0.7 suggests more call interest than puts (moderately bullish positioning).
Flow today: Put-call volume ratio 0.06 (calls dominate today’s trading), a strongly bullish near-term sentiment read.
Activity: Today’s option volume 2,163 is ~145% of the 30-day average (elevated attention).
Volatility: 30D IV ~78.35 vs HV ~70.43 (IV > HV), implying options are pricing in elevated moves; IV percentile ~64.5 (not cheap, not extreme).
Takeaway: Options market is leaning bullish/“risk-on” despite the bearish price momentum—often seen near potential support-bounce zones, but not confirmation on its own.
Technical Summary
Sell
7
Buy
5
Positive Catalysts
Partnership with Boingo Wireless to enhance 5G network infrastructure at critical locations (airports, hospitals) supports the strategic connectivity narrative.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
Technical risk: If ~58.18 fails, the chart opens room toward ~55.34 quickly; MACD deterioration increases the odds of a breakdown attempt.
Fundamentals/profitability: Net income and EPS worsened YoY in the latest reported quarter, and gross margin declined—limits how far purely narrative-driven rallies can run.
Analyst tone: Recent initiation at Hold with a $62 target frames current risk/reward as “balanced,” implying less near-term upside versus recent price appreciation.
No supportive political/congress signal: No recent congress trading data available (no high-profile accumulation signal from that channel).
Financial Performance
Latest quarter: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: $73.845M, up ~2.13% YoY (modest top-line growth).
Profitability: Net income -$1.583M (down ~121.80% YoY), EPS -$0.01 (down ~116.67% YoY) — losses widened vs last year.
Margins: Gross margin ~35.92%, down ~8.41% YoY — indicates pressure on unit economics/contract mix/costs.
Bottom line: Growth exists but is not translating into improving profitability yet, which makes the stock more dependent on catalysts and sentiment.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent changes:
2025-12-16: Deutsche Bank initiated Hold, PT $62; sees risk/reward mostly balanced after major rerating tied to increased perceived strategic spectrum value.
2025-11-10: B. Riley reiterated Buy and raised PT to $75 from $60 after Q3 revenue/adj. EBITDA beat; noted ongoing strategic-alternatives speculation.
Wall Street pros view:
Strategic/spectrum value narrative strengthened; potential deal/strategic optionality is a key upside driver.
Recent operational results (Q3 beat on revenue/adj. EBITDA per B. Riley) provide some support.
Wall Street cons view:
After a large run-up, at least one major firm (DB) views upside/downside as more balanced near current levels.
Underlying profitability and margin trends (latest quarter) are not yet improving meaningfully, which can cap valuation expansion without new catalysts.
Influential/political trading check:
Congress trading: No recent data available.
Insider trend: Neutral (no significant recent insider trading trend reported).
People Also Watch
Wall Street analysts forecast GSAT stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GSAT is 67 USD with a low forecast of 60 USD and a high forecast of 75 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
5 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast GSAT stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GSAT is 67 USD with a low forecast of 60 USD and a high forecast of 75 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
3 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 54.130
Low
60
Averages
67
High
75
Current: 54.130
Low
60
Averages
67
High
75
Deutsche Bank
Hold
initiated
$62
AI Analysis
2025-12-16
Reason
Deutsche Bank
Price Target
$62
AI Analysis
2025-12-16
initiated
Hold
Reason
Deutsche Bank initiated coverage of Globalstar with a Hold rating and $62 price target. Following the Echostar and SpaceX deal, the strategic value of Globalstar's spectrum has materially increased, leading to the stock more than doubling in the past three months, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm sees Globalstar's current risk/reward profile as mostly balanced.
B. Riley
B. Riley
Buy
maintain
$60 -> $75
2025-11-10
Reason
B. Riley
B. Riley
Price Target
$60 -> $75
2025-11-10
maintain
Buy
Reason
B. Riley raised the firm's price target on Globalstar to $75 from $60 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. Globalstar reported Q3 results last week, with revenue and adjusted EBITDA outpacing consensus estimates, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The company refrained from addressing strategic alternatives speculation amid reports that company is in talks, including with SpaceX, with the company's chairman reportedly citing a $10B+ target bogey, B. Riley adds.
Unlock Full Analyst Thesis, Get the complete breakdown of rating reason for GSAT