Should I Buy GRC? GRC 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Gorman-Rupp Co (GRC) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

65.700

1 Day change

10.33%

52 Week Range

66.230

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/04

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Not a good buy right now: the trend is bullish, but the stock is very overbought (RSI_6 ~85.8) and already pushed above first resistance (R1 57.94) toward R2 (59.64), which raises near-term pullback risk.
Intellectia signals are not supporting an aggressive entry today, and the pattern-based outlook skews slightly negative over the next day/month.
With earnings on 2026-02-13 (pre-market) and recent profitability/margins trending down YoY, upside is less clean for an impatient entry.

Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals

AI Stock Picker: no signal on given stock today.
SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.

Technical Analysis

Trend: Bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), indicating strong upside momentum.
Momentum: MACD histogram +0.456 and expanding, confirming positive momentum.
Overbought: RSI_6 85.844 suggests price is stretched and vulnerable to a snapback.
Levels: Pivot 55.18 (key near-term support reference). Resistance: R1 57.94 (already exceeded) and R2 59.64 (next upside cap). Support: S1 52.42.
Quant/pattern read-through: Similar pattern stats imply ~50% chance of -1.97% next day, and -2.35% next month, reinforcing caution on immediate entries.

Options Data

Neutral

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Sentiment (OI): Put/Call OI ratio 0.96 is essentially neutral (balanced positioning).
Volume: Extremely light options activity (today volume 3 calls, 0 puts), so options sentiment is not very informative.
Volatility: IV (30d) 43.47 vs historical vol 28.68 implies options are priced rich vs realized; IV percentile 22.71 / IV rank 18.81 = IV is low relative to its own history, but still above realized.
Liquidity: Very small open interest (calls 28, puts 27) suggests limited hedging/positioning signals.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Price action is strong: bullish moving-average stack plus expanding MACD.
- Upcoming earnings (2026-02-13 pre-market) can act as a catalyst if results/forward commentary surprise to the upside.
- No negative news flow in the last week (news vacuum can help momentum persist in a strong tape).

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Overbought technical condition (RSI_6 ~85.8) increases odds of a near-term pullback.
- Earnings risk: profitability has been declining YoY; any miss or margin pressure commentary could trigger downside.
- Options market is illiquid; lack of meaningful positioning/flow makes it harder to confirm bullish conviction.
- Trading trends: Hedge funds and insiders are neutral (no supportive accumulation signal).

Financial Performance

Latest provided quarter: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: $172.825M, +2.76% YoY (modest top-line growth).
Net income: $11.344M, -12.19% YoY (profit contraction).
EPS: $0.43, -12.24% YoY.
Gross margin: 27.39%, -7.06% YoY (margin pressure is the key negative trend).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No analyst rating/price target change data was provided, so recent Wall Street upgrades/downgrades and target revisions cannot be verified from this dataset.
Pros (what Wall St would likely like): steady revenue growth, smaller industrial name with technical momentum.
Cons (what Wall St would likely focus on): declining EPS and gross margin YoY, plus an earnings event approaching while the stock is technically extended.
Influential/political activity: No recent congress trading data available; insiders noted as neutral with no significant recent trend.

Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast GRC stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GRC is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

Buy