Not a good buy right now: price is in a clear downtrend (bearish MA stack + falling MACD) and just sold off hard (-9.05% regular session), which usually signals continued pressure rather than an immediate sustainable reversal.
No Intellectia edge today: neither AI Stock Picker nor SwingMax is providing the “strong buy” trigger that would override the bearish setup.
Earnings catalyst risk is high (QDEC 2025 earnings after hours today) while options IV is extremely elevated; for an impatient buyer, the risk/reward is unattractive versus waiting for the post-earnings direction.
My call: avoid/exit rather than buy into a weak tape ahead of an event-driven binary move.
Momentum: MACD histogram at -0.0154 and negatively expanding → downside momentum is still building.
RSI: RSI_6 at ~24.5 indicates oversold/washed-out conditions; this can spark short bounces, but oversold in a strong downtrend is not a reliable buy signal by itself.
Key levels: Pivot 1.206 is well above current ~1.06 (overhead resistance). Nearby support is S1 ~1.08 (already being tested/undercut in post-market) and S2 ~1.002 (next downside area).
Positioning/Sentiment: Extremely call-skewed (OI P/C 0.06; Volume P/C 0.05) → speculative bullish leaning, but this can also reflect “lottery ticket” calls rather than informed conviction.
Volatility: 30D IV ~214.94% vs historical vol ~49.24% (IV percentile ~95.22) → options are pricing a very large move (consistent with earnings).
Activity: Today’s options volume is elevated vs average (today vs 30D avg volume ~23.09), reinforcing event-driven trading rather than a clean directional read.
Takeaway: Options market is set up for a big post-earnings swing; buying stock ahead of that is a coin-flip with poor edge given the bearish trend.
Technical Summary
Sell
9
Buy
4
Positive Catalysts
if earnings/news surprises positively.
is a modest brand/supportive headline.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
Strong bearish technical structure (bearish MA stack + weakening MACD) and sharp recent selloff suggest sellers remain in control.
Earnings after-hours today increases gap risk; with IV extremely high, the market expects turbulence.
Fundamental top-line weakness: prior quarter showed steep revenue decline, limiting confidence in a durable turnaround.
No notable supportive flow signals: hedge funds neutral, insiders neutral, and no congress activity to confirm bullish conviction.
Financial Performance
Latest provided quarter: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: $162.918M, down -37.07% YoY → significant contraction and the biggest fundamental red flag.
Net income: -$21.252M (still a loss) but improved YoY (+158.82%), indicating cost/expense improvements helped narrow losses.
EPS: -0.13, improved YoY (+160.00%) but remains negative.
Gross margin: 35.09%, down -1.10% YoY → slight margin deterioration, not yet showing strong pricing/premium power.
Overall: Some bottom-line improvement off a weak base, but revenue trend is sharply negative—hard to justify buying aggressively into that without a clear inflection.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Morgan Stanley (2025-11-07): Raised price target to $1.30 from $0.80 but maintained an Underweight rating.
Interpretation: Wall Street view is still cautious/negative (Underweight), even though the target was lifted—suggesting limited upside expected and continued skepticism about fundamentals.
Pros view: modest upside to $1.30 implies a rebound is possible; cons view: Underweight rating signals they would still avoid/under-allocate the stock versus peers.
Wall Street analysts forecast GPRO stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GPRO is 1.3 USD with a low forecast of 1.3 USD and a high forecast of 1.3 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
1 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast GPRO stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GPRO is 1.3 USD with a low forecast of 1.3 USD and a high forecast of 1.3 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
0 Buy
0 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Sell
Current: 0.988
Low
1.3
Averages
1.3
High
1.3
Current: 0.988
Low
1.3
Averages
1.3
High
1.3
Morgan Stanley
Erik Woodring
Underweight
maintain
AI Analysis
2025-11-07
Reason
Morgan Stanley
Erik Woodring
Price Target
AI Analysis
2025-11-07
maintain
Underweight
Reason
Morgan Stanley analyst Erik Woodring raised the firm's price target on GoPro to $1.30 from 80c and keeps an Underweight rating on the shares.
Morgan Stanley
Underweight
maintain
2025-08-12
Reason
Morgan Stanley
Price Target
2025-08-12
maintain
Underweight
Reason
Morgan Stanley raised the firm's price target on GoPro to 80c from 50c and keeps an Underweight rating on the shares. 2025 remains a "look beyond" year for GoPro and the earliest the firm believes investors can expect a turnaround is 2026, the analyst tells investors in a post-earnings note.
Unlock Full Analyst Thesis， Get the complete breakdown of rating reason for GPRO
