Not a good “buy right now” for an impatient trader: price is pushing into near-term resistance (~205–209) after a strong move, while short-horizon pattern stats lean slightly negative.
Trend is bullish (positive MACD, bullish moving averages), but without proprietary buy signals today and with earnings on 2026-02-26, the risk/reward for an immediate entry is not compelling.
Options positioning is mildly bullish (more call OI than put OI), but actual daily volume is extremely light, limiting signal strength.
Net income/EPS YoY deterioration in the latest reported quarter reduces confidence in chasing strength at current levels.
Technical Analysis
Trend/structure: Bullish moving averages (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) indicates an established uptrend.
Momentum: MACD histogram +2.272 and expanding supports continued upside momentum.
RSI (6): 66.8 = strong but not yet overbought; suggests upside is possible, but the stock is also closer to “extended” than “cheap.”
Key levels: Pivot 198.5; Resistance R1 ~205.1 (price ~205.3 is already there) and R2 ~209.2; Support S1 ~191.9.
Short-term pattern odds: Similar-candlestick study implies ~50% chance of mild drift lower (-1.16% next day, -1.5% next week, -1.83% next month), which is unfavorable for an immediate buy-chase.
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Sentiment via positioning: Open interest put/call ratio 0.47 (call OI > put OI) = moderately bullish positioning.
Liquidity/check: Today’s total option volume is only 2 contracts (puts 0), so the volume-based signal is weak despite the bullish ratio.
Volatility: 30D IV ~40.1 vs historical vol ~44.5; IV percentile ~69 suggests options are relatively pricey vs the past year (market is paying up for uncertainty).
Skew/flow note: Call volume exists but is tiny; treat options read as “slightly bullish bias” rather than a strong conviction signal.
Prior analyst targets still mostly above the current ~205 level (e.g., UBS 264, Jefferies 260), implying upside if fundamentals/co-modynamics cooperate.
Sector backdrop (per some analyst commentary): “Demand inflection for natural gas” narrative can support gas-levered names if pricing stays firm.
Upcoming catalyst: Q4/Dec 2025 earnings on 2026-02-26 after hours (can re-rate the stock quickly if results/guide impress).
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
with the next resistance near ~209; upside may be capped short term without a fresh catalyst.
Profitability: Net income $81.4M, down sharply YoY (-640.6%); EPS 4.45, also down sharply YoY (-636.1%) — indicates earnings power deteriorated materially versus the prior-year quarter despite higher revenue.
Gross margin: 64.23, +28.36% YoY (gross profitability improved), but the net income/EPS drop suggests non-gross factors (e.g., D&A, hedging, taxes, one-offs, interest, etc.) weighed heavily.
Next key read: QDEC 2025 earnings on 2026-02-26 (Est. EPS 5.63) is the next major checkpoint.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent rating/target trend: Mixed to slightly weakening at the margin.
Bull case on the Street: Multiple Buys/Overweights with targets above spot (UBS $264 Buy; Jefferies $260 Buy; JPMorgan $222 Overweight; KeyBanc $230 Overweight) citing inventory expansion/resource depth and constructive gas demand themes.
Bear/neutral case on the Street: Wolfe downgraded to Peer Perform (no PT), saying no compelling reason vs peers at near fair value; BofA maintained Buy but cut PT to $215 (from $245) on higher perceived 2027 gas oversupply risk.
Net takeaway: Wall Street still sees upside, but price targets have started to compress and at least one key shop argues the stock is closer to fair value now.
Notable flows/politicians: No recent congress trading data available; hedge funds and insiders show neutral activity (no significant recent trends).
Wall Street analysts forecast GPOR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GPOR is 233.33 USD with a low forecast of 200 USD and a high forecast of 264 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
12 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast GPOR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GPOR is 233.33 USD with a low forecast of 200 USD and a high forecast of 264 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
8 Buy
4 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 206.540
Low
200
Averages
233.33
High
264
Current: 206.540
Low
200
Averages
233.33
High
264
BofA
Buy
downgrade
$245 -> $215
AI Analysis
2026-01-16
Reason
BofA
Price Target
$245 -> $215
AI Analysis
2026-01-16
downgrade
Buy
Reason
BofA lowered the firm's price target on Gulfport Energy to $215 from $245 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. Bullish sentiment on natural gas has persisted for 18 months, but the firm sees rising risk of oversupply in 2027, which combined with lower price forecasts drives an average 12% reduction in its price objectives among the gas-levered E&P group.
Wolfe Research
Outperform -> Peer Perform
downgrade
2026-01-05
Reason
Wolfe Research
Price Target
2026-01-05
downgrade
Outperform -> Peer Perform
Reason
Wolfe Research downgraded Gulfport Energy to Peer Perform from Outperform without a price targe. After lowering its long-term gas outlook, Wolfe sees "no compelling reason" to own Gulfport over its peers. The shares are trading near fair value, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
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