Not a good buy right now for an impatient investor: price is stretched after a sharp move and technicals show overbought conditions.
Risk/reward looks unfavorable at $147.95: the stock is trading above the latest cited Wall St price target ($142) and is sitting near the next resistance zone (~$149).
With earnings on 2026-02-17 (pre-market), upside may require a strong beat; otherwise near-term downside/pullback risk is elevated.
Net: wait/hold rather than chase; the setup is more consistent with a pause/pullback than a fresh high-conviction entry today.
Technical Analysis
Trend: Bullish structure (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) confirms an established uptrend.
Momentum: MACD histogram +0.94 and expanding = strong positive momentum.
Overbought: RSI(6) at 88.76 signals an overheated move; near-term pullback/consolidation risk is high.
Levels: Pivot 141.54 (key line to hold). Resistance: R1 146.23 already reclaimed; next resistance R2 149.13 (nearby). Support: S1 136.86.
Price context: +3.52% regular session surge followed by -0.86% pre-market suggests some immediate profit-taking after the spike.
Pattern-based short-horizon odds: modest/flat next day (+0.27%), slightly negative next week (-0.72%), mild positive next month (+0.71%)—not a strong “buy-now” timing signal.
Activity: Today’s option volume 283 vs 30D average is elevated (44.08), implying heightened near-term interest.
Volatility: 30D IV 34.22 vs historical vol 22.39 = options priced rich; IV percentile 88.84 indicates volatility is expensive relative to its recent history.
Interpretation: Market is leaning bullish, but elevated IV means “good news” is more priced-in and post-event moves can punish late entries.
Technical Summary
Sell
6
Buy
10
Positive Catalysts
Technical uptrend remains intact with strong momentum (bullish MAs + expanding MACD).
Gross margin: 35.36%, +0.88% YoY (a constructive margin trend, but not yet translating into clear EPS acceleration).
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent rating/target change: (2025-11-13) Goldman Sachs upgraded GPC to Neutral from Sell; raised price target to $142 from $130.
What Wall St is signaling: the downgrade risk has eased and business trends are viewed as improving (pro).
Key con for buyers today: the cited $142 target sits below the current price (~$147.95), implying limited upside versus expectations at this level.
Broader positioning checks: Hedge funds neutral (no significant trend last quarter); insiders neutral (no significant trend last month).
Politicians/Congress: No recent congress trading data available in the last 90 days.
Wall Street analysts forecast GPC stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GPC is 148.67 USD with a low forecast of 146 USD and a high forecast of 150 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
4 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast GPC stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GPC is 148.67 USD with a low forecast of 146 USD and a high forecast of 150 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
3 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 146.210
Low
146
Averages
148.67
High
150
Current: 146.210
Low
146
Averages
148.67
High
150
Goldman Sachs
Sell
to
Neutral
upgrade
$130 -> $142
AI Analysis
2025-11-13
Reason
Goldman Sachs
Price Target
$130 -> $142
AI Analysis
2025-11-13
upgrade
Sell
to
Neutral
Reason
Goldman Sachs upgraded Genuine Parts to Neutral from Sell with a price target of $142, up from $130. The firm sees less downside risk at current valuation levels. Genuine Parts now trades at a more balanced risk/reward as its trends are improving for both the automotive and industrial segments, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
Truist
Scot Ciccarelli
Buy
maintain
$143 -> $146
2025-10-22
Reason
Truist
Scot Ciccarelli
Price Target
$143 -> $146
2025-10-22
maintain
Buy
Reason
Truist analyst Scot Ciccarelli raised the firm's price target on Genuine Parts to $146 from $143 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The company's Q3 results were in-line with estimates as both segments turned positive comps, and its U.S. Auto business has essentially posted its first positive comp in eight quarters, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Genuine Parts' industrial businss is a "coiled spring" and should generate significant leverage as the industrial cycle eventually turns, the firm added.
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