Not a good buy right now: the stock just suffered a sharp earnings-driven breakdown (-8.33% regular session) and technical momentum is still deteriorating.
Oversold (RSI_6 ~15.5) can produce a short bounce, but the trend signal (MACD histogram negative and expanding) argues downside risk is still dominant.
Options positioning is mixed (bullish longer-term OI skew, but bearish near-term volume skew), consistent with traders hedging/pressing downside after the print.
With no proprietary buy signals today and negative event catalyst in play, the higher-probability action for an impatient trader is to avoid/exit rather than buy the dip.
Sentiment read: OI put/call 0.57 suggests positioning is more call-heavy (structurally more bullish/less hedged longer-dated).
Near-term tone: volume put/call 1.34 shows puts traded heavier today → bearish/hedging reaction to the earnings event.
Activity: today’s option volume 38,621 is elevated vs avg (124.54%) → heightened event-driven speculation/hedging.
Volatility: very high IV (96% 30D) and HV (96.9%); IV percentile ~48 and IV rank ~46 imply IV is high in absolute terms but not extreme vs its own history.
Technical Summary
Sell
10
Buy
4
Positive Catalysts
Long-term thematic support cited by analysts: “dual exposure” to digital-asset institutionalization and AI/data-center infrastructure.
Reported record adjusted gross profit for 2025 (operational metric strength, despite GAAP loss).
Assets under management referenced around $12B, supporting platform relevance if crypto markets stabilize/rebound.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
triggered repricing.
increases probability of testing lower support (~18.7).
Net income: 208.47M, down sharply YoY (-1368.90%) → major deterioration.
EPS: 1.01, down sharply YoY (-876.92%).
Gross margin: 0.76 (stable per snapshot).
Latest quarter season referenced in news (2025/Q4 results released 2026-02-03/04):
Q4 revenue reported at $10.37B (miss vs expectations) and EPS loss of $1.08.
GAAP net loss highlighted, despite strong adjusted gross profit metric—quality of earnings is a concern for near-term traders.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent tone: mixed, with near-term estimate/target cuts tied to crypto pullback, but several firms still see substantial long-term upside.
Cantor Fitzgerald (2026-02-02): Overweight maintained, but price target cut to $48 from $53 on expected non-cash digital asset losses and weaker trading revenue.
Goldman Sachs: Neutral maintained; targets have been adjusted multiple times (raised to $27 on 2026-01-20; previously cut from $39→$34 and $34→$30 in Nov 2025), reflecting volatility and valuation multiple compression.
Morgan Stanley (2025-11-06): Initiated Overweight with $42 PT, framing GLXY as AI data-center developer + blockchain investment bank.
Citizens JMP (2025-12-09): Initiated Outperform with $60 PT, emphasizing multi-engine growth from crypto + AI infrastructure.
Wall Street pros/cons view:
Pros: leveraged exposure to crypto cycle + AI/data-center buildout; strong long-term narrative and multiple bullish ratings.
Cons: earnings volatility, sensitivity to crypto drawdowns, trading-volume declines, and headline GAAP losses driving sharp selloffs.
People Also Watch
Wall Street analysts forecast GLXY stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GLXY is 45.89 USD with a low forecast of 26 USD and a high forecast of 60 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
11 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast GLXY stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GLXY is 45.89 USD with a low forecast of 26 USD and a high forecast of 60 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
10 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 16.840
Low
26
Averages
45.89
High
60
Current: 16.840
Low
26
Averages
45.89
High
60
Goldman Sachs
James Yaro
Neutral
downgrade
$27 -> $24
AI Analysis
2026-02-04
New
Reason
Goldman Sachs
James Yaro
Price Target
$27 -> $24
AI Analysis
2026-02-04
New
downgrade
Neutral
Reason
Goldman Sachs analyst James Yaro lowered the firm's price target on Galaxy Digital to $24 from $27 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. Despite the weaker results in the quarter, largely driven by digital assets price depreciation, management remains constructive on the long-term growth trajectory across the Global markets and Asset management businesses, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
H.C. Wainwright
Mike Colonese
Buy
downgrade
$45 -> $40
2026-02-04
New
Reason
H.C. Wainwright
Mike Colonese
Price Target
$45 -> $40
2026-02-04
New
downgrade
Buy
Reason
H.C. Wainwright analyst Mike Colonese lowered the firm's price target on Galaxy Digital (GLXY) to $40 from $45 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm sees an attractive buying opportunity after shares tumbled on weaker-than-expected Q4 results. While the crypto bear market has been a headwind, the potential passage of crypto market structure legislation and the monetization of its data center business, which is on track to recognize revenue from its CoreWeave (CRWV) lease in the coming weeks, are identifiable near-term positive catalysts, the analyst added.
Unlock Full Analyst Thesis， Get the complete breakdown of rating reason for GLXY
