Should I Buy GLP? GLP 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Global Partners LP (GLP) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Buy

Latest Price

46.940

1 Day change

-0.72%

52 Week Range

60.000

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/04

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Buy now for a short-term mean-reversion bounce: GLP is extremely oversold (RSI-6 ~~10.8) at/near the pivot (~~47.53), which often precedes quick rebounds even within a broader downtrend.
Upside levels to watch: first rebound zone is 49.93 (R1), then 51.41 (R2) if momentum improves.
Not a trend-following buy: the broader setup remains bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5 and MACD negative), so this is best treated as a tactical dip-buy rather than a long-term momentum entry.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
- AI Stock Picker: no signal on given stock today.
- SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.

Technical Analysis

Trend: Bearish overall (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5), indicating price has been declining across short/medium/long horizons.
Momentum: MACD histogram -0.452 and negatively expanding → downside momentum still present.
Oversold condition: RSI_6 ~10.8 → extreme oversold, increasing odds of a near-term snap-back rally.
Key levels: Pivot 47.53 (price ~47.7 is hovering near it). Supports: 45.13 (S1), 43.64 (S2). Resistances: 49.93 (R1), 51.41 (R2).
Pattern-based odds (provided): Similar-pattern analysis suggests ~60% probability of gains: +1.26% next day, +3.1% next week, +13.08% next month (supports the tactical buy thesis despite bearish trend).

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Positioning (Open Interest): Put/Call OI ratio 0.9 (puts 655 vs calls 728) → slightly more calls than puts; mildly constructive/neutral sentiment.
Volume: Very light options activity (total volume 2, put volume 2, call volume 0) → sentiment read from volume is low-confidence.
Volatility: IV 30d ~30.2 with very low IV percentile (~~5%) / IV rank (~~3%) → options are relatively cheap vs the past year; market is not pricing big moves.
Takeaway: Options market is not flashing fear (PCR < 1), but low volume means signals are muted.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Dividend/distribution raised: Quarterly dividend/distribution announced at $0.76 (+0.7%), reinforcing income appeal and often providing near-term support.
- Upcoming earnings date: 2026-03-04 (pre-market) can act as an attention catalyst; any margin/profit stabilization could re-rate the unit price.
- Extreme oversold technicals: RSI in deep oversold territory can catalyze a quick bounce without requiring fundamental news.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Downtrend remains intact: Bearish moving-average stack plus weakening MACD suggests rallies may be sold until trend improves.
- Analyst stance is cautious: Stifel is Hold with a $45 target (below current ~47.7), implying limited near-term upside per that coverage.
- Profitability deterioration (latest reported quarter): Significant YoY declines in net income/EPS and gross margin (details below) can cap sustained upside.
- No notable accumulation signals: Hedge fund and insider trend readouts are neutral, suggesting no strong “smart money” confirmation right now.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter provided: 2025/Q3
Revenue: $4.694B, +6.15% YoY (top-line growth remains positive).
Net income: $22.45M, -43.92% YoY (sharp profitability contraction).
EPS: 0.66, -43.59% YoY (earnings power weakened meaningfully).
Gross margin: 5.75, -10.44% YoY (margin pressure is the key negative trend).
Bottom line: Business is growing revenue, but profitability is sliding, which supports a tactical/technical buy rather than a confident fundamental “compounder” entry.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent rating/target change: [2025-11-11] Stifel lowered price target to $45 from $53 and maintained Hold after Q3 results missed its estimates.
Wall Street pros (bull case): Income story supported by the $0.76 distribution and steady revenue growth; oversold technicals can generate a rebound.
Wall Street cons (bear case): Target cut below market price and earnings/margin compression signal fundamental headwinds; trend is still bearish, making this a counter-trend buy.
Influential/political trading: No recent congress trading data available; hedge funds/insiders reported as neutral (no strong directional tell).

1 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast GLP stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GLP is 45 USD with a low forecast of 45 USD and a high forecast of 45 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

0 Buy

1 Hold

0 Sell

Hold

Current: 47.280

Low

Averages

High

Current: 47.280

Low

Averages

High

Stifel

Hold

downgrade

$53 -> $45

AI Analysis

2025-11-11

Reason

Stifel

Price Target

$53 -> $45

AI Analysis

2025-11-11

downgrade

Hold

Reason

Stifel lowered the firm's price target on Global Partners to $45 from $53 and keeps a Hold rating on the shares following Q3 results that came in below the firm's estimates.

Stifel

Hold

downgrade

$56 -> $53

2025-05-15

Reason

Stifel

Price Target

$56 -> $53

2025-05-15

downgrade

Hold

Reason

Stifel lowered the firm's price target on Global Partners to $53 from $56 and keeps a Hold rating on the shares. While management believes it should be relatively insulated from tariff impacts, Global noted there could be some minor impacts from potential consumer behavior at its retail sites, says the analyst after the company posted Q1 results above our expectations, driven by its wholesale segment.

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GLP Should I Buy

GLP Should I Buy

Should You Buy Global Partners LP (GLP) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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