Not a good buy right now for an impatient investor: momentum is strong, but the stock is short-term stretched (RSI high) and sitting near resistance, making near-term upside less attractive.
Options positioning is heavily put-skewed (bearish/hedging signal), while hedge funds have been aggressively selling recently—both reduce confidence in chasing.
Fundamentals in the latest quarter (2026/Q3) showed broad YoY declines (revenue, EPS, margin), which can cap rerating despite better-than-expected execution.
Net: I would hold/avoid new buying here; the risk/reward is not favorable at ~$31 after a sharp run-up.
Technical Analysis
Trend: Bullish structure with SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200, confirming an established uptrend.
Momentum: MACD histogram +0.178 and expanding, supportive of continuation.
Stretch/overbought: RSI_6 77.586 (short-term overbought/extended conditions), which often precedes a pause or pullback.
Levels: Pivot 29.451; Support 28.158 (S1); Resistance 30.744 (R1) already cleared; next resistance 31.543 (R2)—price (~31.03–31.08) is close to this ceiling.
Pattern-based outlook: Similar-pattern stats imply ~-8.04% over the next month, suggesting elevated pullback risk despite 1-week strength.
Options Data
Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Positioning: Put open interest 1790 vs call open interest 227 (very put-heavy), typically signaling bearish sentiment or strong hedging demand.
Volatility: 30D IV 49.61 vs historical vol 32.32 (options pricing in elevated risk/uncertainty).
Activity: Reported 0 options volume today (sentiment inference relies more on OI than fresh flow).
Open interest change: Today vs OI avg 30D 67.8 (OI elevated vs typical baseline), reinforcing that positioning matters here.
Recent earnings execution was viewed positively by some analysts (bottom-line outperformance commentary), supporting near-term confidence in management execution.
Multiple firms raised price targets recently, indicating improved Street expectations versus prior.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
showed YoY declines in revenue, EPS, net income, and gross margin—fundamental headwinds.
Takeaway: Profitability and growth trends are deteriorating YoY, which makes it harder to justify buying after a strong technical run without a clear catalyst.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent trend: Price targets have been raised across several firms following Q3, but ratings remain mixed (Buy/Overweight vs Neutral/Market Perform).
Bull case (Wall St pros): BTIG (Buy) and KeyBanc (Overweight) highlight stronger-than-expected margins/earnings and potential for margin/earnings expansion as headwinds peak.
Bear/neutral case (Wall St cons): UBS (Neutral) and Telsey (Market Perform) emphasize cautious guidance and macro/tariff/consumer uncertainty; transition dynamics remain a risk.
Net Street view: Improving expectations, but not an unequivocal consensus buy—more “execution is good, but risks cap upside.”
Wall Street analysts forecast GIII stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GIII is 32.75 USD with a low forecast of 30 USD and a high forecast of 35 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
4 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast GIII stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GIII is 32.75 USD with a low forecast of 30 USD and a high forecast of 35 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
2 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 30.190
Low
30
Averages
32.75
High
35
Current: 30.190
Low
30
Averages
32.75
High
35
UBS
Neutral
maintain
$28 -> $32
AI Analysis
2025-12-10
Reason
UBS
Price Target
$28 -> $32
AI Analysis
2025-12-10
maintain
Neutral
Reason
UBS raised the firm's price target on G-III Apparel to $32 from $28 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The Q3 report will likely serve as a positive stock catalyst, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
Telsey Advisory
Market Perform
maintain
$30 -> $34
2025-12-10
Reason
Telsey Advisory
Price Target
$30 -> $34
2025-12-10
maintain
Market Perform
Reason
Telsey Advisory raised the firm's price target on G-III Apparel to $34 from $30 and keeps a Market Perform rating on the shares. The company delivered a "mixed bag" in Q3, the analyst tells investors. While the company has been encouraged by customer demand during the holiday season so far, G-III Apparel has taken a cautious approach to its Q4 guidance due to the impact of tariffs and uncertain consumer environment, the firm adds.
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