Should I Buy GHG? GHG 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd (GHG) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

1.490

1 Day change

2.41%

52 Week Range

3.250

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/05

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Not a good buy right now for an impatient investor: the dominant trend is bearish and there are no proprietary buy signals to override that.
Oversold conditions (RSI_6 ~18) can produce short bounces, but with MACD still deteriorating and price below key moving averages, the odds favor further weakness or choppy downside rather than a clean reversal.
With no fresh news catalysts and the latest quarter showing YoY declines, there’s no clear near-term trigger to justify immediate entry.

Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals

AI Stock Picker: no signal on given stock today.
SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.

Technical Analysis

Trend: Bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5), indicating sustained downside pressure across long-, mid-, and short-term timeframes.
Momentum: MACD histogram -0.00833 (below zero) and negatively expanding → bearish momentum is strengthening, not stabilizing.
Oscillator: RSI_6 at 18.407 → deeply oversold; supports the case for a short-lived dead-cat bounce, but does not by itself confirm a trend reversal.
Levels: Pre-market 1.46 is below S1 (1.471) and below pivot (1.547), putting the stock in a weak technical zone.
- Near-term support: S2 ~1.424.
- Overhead resistance: pivot ~1.547, then R1 ~1.624.
Pattern-based forward bias: similar-pattern stats imply mild downside skew (-1.42% next week, -5.03% next month), aligning with the bearish trend.

Positive Catalysts

- Oversold RSI increases probability of a short-term reflex bounce, especially if price holds near S2 (~1.424).
- No notable hedge fund or insider selling pressure flagged recently (both neutral), reducing the risk of a fresh “forced” breakdown from disclosed flows.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Clear bearish trend structure (SMA stack) + worsening MACD suggests downside momentum is still in control.
- Price trading below S1 and pivot increases likelihood that rebounds get sold into resistance (1.547–1.624 zone).
- No news in the recent week → no obvious event-driven catalyst to change sentiment quickly.
- Similar-candlestick forward stats lean negative over 1-week/1-month horizons.
- Congress/influential trading: no recent congress trading data available (no signal of conviction buying from that channel).

Financial Performance

Latest reported quarter: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: 303,605,436, down -14.95% YoY (top-line contraction).
Net income: 60,813,333, down -7.16% YoY.
EPS: 0.6, down -7.69% YoY.
Gross margin: 41.67%, down -2.02% YoY.
Overall: simultaneous declines in revenue, earnings, EPS, and margin point to weakening operating momentum—typically not supportive of an immediate buy without a clear turnaround catalyst.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No analyst rating / price target change data was provided, so there’s no observable recent trend in upgrades/downgrades or target revisions.
Wall Street pro/con view cannot be reliably summarized from the supplied dataset; based on available fundamentals and technicals alone, the near-term setup skews bearish rather than bullish.

Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast GHG stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GHG is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

Buy

Hold

Sell

Current: 1.450

Low

Averages

High