Not a good buy right now for an impatient trader: the stock is breaking down hard post-earnings (regular session -10.86%, post-market ~-10.88%) with worsening fundamentals.
Price is trading below the key support (S1 15.566) and is drifting toward S2 (13.794), which favors more downside or choppy basing rather than a clean rebound entry.
Options positioning is extremely call-heavy (bullish sentiment), but it’s not enough to offset the negative earnings catalyst + weak revenue/margins trend.
If you already hold shares, this setup favors exiting/reducing rather than averaging down immediately.
Technical Analysis
Trend/structure: Sharp selloff after earnings with price now below S1 (15.566); next downside reference is S2 (13.794). That is a technical “support break,” not a buy trigger.
Momentum: MACD histogram -0.569 (bearish). “Negatively contracting” suggests selling pressure may be slowing, but it remains a downtrend signal until it turns positive.
RSI(6): 35.9 (near-oversold but not a strong reversal signal yet). This can stay weak for multiple sessions in post-earnings repricing.
Moving averages: “Converging” suggests indecision, but after a breakdown it often precedes continuation unless price quickly reclaims the pivot.
Key levels to watch: Pivot 18.435 (must reclaim to shift bias), resistance 21.304/23.076, supports 15.566 then 13.794.
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Positioning: Call OI 5502 vs Put OI 897 → very call-skewed (bullish sentiment/hedging skew to calls).
Flow: Total volume 62 (Calls 61, Puts 1) and volume is ~22.38x the 30-day average, but absolute volume is still small—can be noisy in a small-cap.
Volatility: IV(30d) 108.18 vs HV 85.05 → options are pricing elevated risk (consistent with earnings drop). IV percentile 69.72 suggests IV is relatively high vs its recent history.
Takeaway: Options sentiment looks optimistic/speculative, but the equity tape is bearish after earnings; the market is paying up for volatility rather than pricing a stable uptrend.
Technical Summary
Sell
11
Buy
5
Positive Catalysts
and a large gap-down can spark short-term dead-cat bounces.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
Earnings/news catalyst is clearly negative: Q1 GAAP EPS -0.76 with revenue down ~31% YoY; reported loss $9.8M.
Breakdown below S1 15.566 increases probability of continuation toward S2 13.794 (and potentially lower if S2 fails).
Business pressure: revenue decline + competitiveness challenges cited; cash reported around $10.6M in the news summary (tight cushion if losses persist).
No supportive institutional/insider trend signal: hedge funds and insiders reported as Neutral (no notable accumulation).
Politician/congress activity: No recent congress trading data available (no helpful signal).
Financial Performance
Latest reported quarter in the news (Q1 reported 2026-02-04): GAAP EPS -0.76, revenue $25.6M (~ -31% YoY), net loss ~$9.8M; cash mentioned ~$10.6M.
Growth trend read-through: accelerating revenue decline (from -13% to ~-31%) and deeply pressured margins suggest the company is moving in the wrong direction near-term—fundamentals do not support an “impatient buy-the-dip” approach right now.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
No analyst rating/price target change data was provided, which often happens with small-cap, lightly-covered names.
Wall Street pro view (inferred from available info):
Pros: potential cyclical/project-driven upside if end markets recover; oversold technicals could produce sharp rebounds.
Net take: without visible upgrades/raised targets (and given the earnings-driven repricing), the current setup reads as a Wall Street “prove it” situation, not a consensus buy.
Wall Street analysts forecast GEOS stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GEOS is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Analyst Rating
0
Wall Street analysts forecast GEOS stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GEOS is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
