Should I Buy GEL? GEL 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Genesis Energy LP (GEL) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

17.190

1 Day change

-1.49%

52 Week Range

17.770

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/04

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Not a good buy right now for an impatient trader: despite being technically oversold, momentum is still deteriorating (bearish MACD expansion) and pattern-based odds point to a weaker next-month path.
Options positioning is bullish-leaning (low put/call OI ratio), but it’s not being confirmed by meaningful put activity or a fresh proprietary buy signal.
With earnings coming pre-market on 2026-02-12, the near-term setup is catalyst-driven; without a clear edge/signal today, the better call is to wait rather than chase a bounce.

Technical Analysis

Trend/Momentum: MACD histogram -0.0915 and negatively expanding → bearish momentum still building (downtrend pressure not clearly exhausted).
RSI: RSI(6) at 17.0 → deeply oversold, which can fuel a short-term bounce, but oversold alone is not a buy trigger when MACD is still worsening.
Moving averages: converging MAs → potential transition zone, but no confirmed reversal signal provided.
Key levels: Pivot 16.116. Supports: S1 15.56, S2 15.217. Resistances: R1 16.672, R2 17.015. Post-market 17.33 is above R2 → extended versus nearby resistance, increasing pullback risk.
Quant/pattern read-through: similar-pattern stats imply ~-7.33% over the next month, which conflicts with a “buy now” stance.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Positioning/Sentiment: Open interest put/call ratio 0.31 (calls dominant) → generally bullish sentiment/positioning.
Volume: Put volume is 0 vs call volume 56; option activity is call-skewed but overall liquidity looks light.
Volatility: 30D IV ~31.03 vs historical vol ~31.51 (roughly in-line). IV percentile ~35.46 and IV rank ~8.56 → not an elevated IV environment; less “event premium” priced in right now.
Flow note: Today’s volume vs 30D avg is 10.89x, but from a low base; treat as a small activity burst, not definitive conviction.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

~17 suggests conditions are ripe for a short-term oversold bounce.
indicates market participants are positioned more bullish than bearish.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

in post-market (~17.33), increasing risk of a fade back toward the pivot/support.

Financial Performance

Latest reported quarter: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: $414.0M, +4.21% YoY → modest top-line growth.
Profitability: Net income -$5.66M, down -85.51% YoY; EPS -0.05, down -84.38% YoY → earnings trend deteriorated materially.
Margin: Gross margin 22.68, +42.19% YoY → operational improvement on margin, but not yet translating into positive net income.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No analyst rating or price target change data was provided, so there’s no confirmed recent Street upgrade/downgrade trend to lean on.
Wall Street pros/cons view cannot be validated from the supplied dataset; treat external consensus as unknown in this decision.

2 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast GEL stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GEL is 19.5 USD with a low forecast of 19 USD and a high forecast of 20 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

2 Buy

0 Hold

0 Sell

Moderate Buy

Current: 17.450

Low

Averages

19.5

High

Current: 17.450

Low

Averages

19.5

High

RBC Capital

Elvira Scotto

Outperform

maintain

$15 -> $18

AI Analysis

2025-07-25

Reason

RBC Capital

Elvira Scotto

Price Target

$15 -> $18

AI Analysis

2025-07-25

maintain

Outperform

Reason

RBC Capital analyst Elvira Scotto raised the firm's price target on Genesis Energy to $18 from $15 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares ahead of the Q2 earnings report on July 31. RBC expects the call will focus on offshore project updates, capital allocation plans, and any updates to the outlook, the analyst tells investors in a research note.

Wells Fargo

Michael Blum

Hold

Buy

Upgrades

$15 → $18

2025-03-17

Reason

Wells Fargo

Michael Blum

Price Target

$15 → $18

2025-03-17

Upgrades

Hold

Buy

Reason

Wells Fargo analyst Michael Blum upgraded Genesis Energy to Overweight from Equal Weight with a price target of $18, up from $15.

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GEL Should I Buy

GEL Should I Buy

Should You Buy Genesis Energy LP (GEL) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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