Not a good buy right now for an impatient buyer: momentum is still bearish after a sharp -7% regular-session drop, and price is sitting right on key support (S1 ~41.70) with risk of a breakdown.
Options positioning is bullish-leaning (calls favored), but overall options volume is far below normal, reducing confidence that sentiment will drive an immediate rebound.
With no Intellectia buy signals today and profitability trending sharply down YoY in the latest quarter, the risk/reward is not compelling for an immediate entry at ~41–42.
Technical Analysis
Trend/MAs: Moving averages are structurally bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), suggesting the broader trend has been up, but the latest selloff is challenging that trend.
Momentum: MACD histogram is negative (-0.336) and negatively expanding → bearish momentum is strengthening in the short term.
RSI: RSI_6 at 32.88 (near oversold zone) suggests a bounce is possible, but it is not a confirmed reversal signal on its own.
Key levels: Current area (41.25–41.90) is just below/around S1 (41.699). A clean hold above ~41.7 would be supportive; losing it opens room toward S2 (39.936). Overhead resistance starts at Pivot (44.553) then R1 (47.406).
Participation: Today’s options volume is very light (267 vs 5D avg ~2749; 10D avg ~2388), so the bullish tilt may not be strongly conviction-backed.
Volatility: IV30 ~75.62 vs HV ~64.89; IV percentile ~30 and IV rank ~23 suggest IV is not elevated relative to its own recent history (despite being high in absolute terms).
Technical Summary
Sell
1
Buy
12
Positive Catalysts
Revenue growth remains positive in the latest reported quarter (2025/Q3 +10.3% YoY).
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
Latest quarter profitability deterioration is severe YoY (net income and EPS down sharply), which can weigh on sentiment and keep rebounds choppy.
Profitability: Net income 99,522,744.65 (down -446.11% YoY) and EPS 0.05 (down -350.00% YoY) → major earnings compression/volatility vs prior year.
Margins: Gross margin 22.14 (+3.99% YoY) → some operating improvement at the gross level, but it did not translate into YoY net income/EPS growth.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent changes:
[2025-11-06] Macquarie initiated at Outperform with a $46.70 price target (bullish).
[2025-11-20] TD Cowen kept Buy but lowered PT to $37 from $38 after mixed 3Q25 results (more cautious; PT below current price area).
Wall Street pros: constructive longer-term setup tied to leasing expectations and 2026 install growth; at least one firm sees meaningful upside (46.7 target).
Wall Street cons: mixed results and a lowered target from TD Cowen signals near-term execution/earnings uncertainty; combined with the latest sharp earnings decline, it limits confidence in an immediate “buy now” call.
Wall Street analysts forecast GDS stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GDS is 43.76 USD with a low forecast of 6.29 USD and a high forecast of 67.12 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
8 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast GDS stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GDS is 43.76 USD with a low forecast of 6.29 USD and a high forecast of 67.12 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
8 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 42.690
Low
6.29
Averages
43.76
High
67.12
Current: 42.690
Low
6.29
Averages
43.76
High
67.12
TD Cowen
Buy
downgrade
$38 -> $37
AI Analysis
2025-11-20
Reason
TD Cowen
Price Target
$38 -> $37
AI Analysis
2025-11-20
downgrade
Buy
Reason
TD Cowen lowered the firm's price target on GDS Holdings to $37 from $38 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firmsaid they reported mixed 3Q25 results and maintained 2025 guidance. Management expects 300MW of 2025 leasing and higher installs in 2026, which should bode well for revenue and EBITDA growth exiting next year.
Macquarie
Outperform
initiated
$46.70
2025-11-06
Reason
Macquarie
Price Target
$46.70
2025-11-06
initiated
Outperform
Reason
Macquarie initiated coverage of GDS Holdings with an Outperform rating and $46.70 price target.
Unlock Full Analyst Thesis， Get the complete breakdown of rating reason for GDS
