Should I Buy FUTU? FUTU 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Futu Holdings Ltd (FUTU) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Buy

Latest Price

151.490

1 Day change

1.02%

52 Week Range

202.530

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/04

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Buy now (tactical entry): Price is sitting on key support (~~153.5) with an extremely oversold RSI (~~19.7), which favors a rebound setup for an impatient buyer.
Fundamentals + Street support are strong: Recent upgrades (Goldman/Citi/Barclays) and very strong 2025/Q3 growth back the idea that the selloff is more opportunity than deterioration.
Near-term risk: Trend/momentum is still bearish (MACD worsening) and options positioning is defensive (put-heavy), so expect choppiness—but the current level is still a good buy right now given the oversold condition.

Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals

AI Stock Picker: No signal on given stock today.
SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.

Technical Analysis

Trend/Momentum: Bearish momentum remains in force—MACD histogram is -1.536 and negatively expanding, consistent with a continuing down-leg.
Oversold condition: RSI_6 at 19.693 signals deep oversold, often preceding sharp mean-reversion bounces.
Key levels:
- Support: S1 153.543 (price is essentially testing this), then S2 148.434.
- Resistance: Pivot 161.814, then R1 170.084.
Setup interpretation: This is a “falling knife vs. oversold bounce” zone; with price holding ~153.5, the bounce odds improve. A reclaim of ~161.8 would strengthen the reversal case.
Pattern-based short-term stats provided: Next day modest edge, next week positive (+2.68%), next month slightly negative (-0.92%)—supports a short-term bounce thesis more than a clean multi-week uptrend.

Options Data

Bearish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bearish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Positioning/Sentiment: Put open interest exceeds calls (OI PCR 1.54) and put volume also leads (Vol PCR 1.16) → defensive/hedged sentiment into the drop.
Volatility: 30D IV 53.71 vs historical vol 40.15 (options pricing in elevated moves), but IV percentile 19.52 / IV rank 26.86 suggests IV is not extreme vs its own history—options are not “peak expensive.”
Flow intensity: Today’s option volume is ~85% of 30D average (not a blow-off spike), and today’s OI is ~68% of its 30D average—more like steady hedging than panic capitulation.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Major bullish analyst catalyst: Goldman upgrade to Buy with PT $213.39 (from $157.85), citing positive capital markets outlook + client growth.
- Client growth narrative: Forecast additions of 802k paying clients in 2026 and 659k in 2027 supports multi-year expansion.
- Product/efficiency angle: News highlights high retention and operational efficiency; potential upside from crypto trading expansion.
- Smart money signal: Hedge funds are flagged as buying, with buying amount up 1234.10% QoQ (strong external vote of confidence).
- Strong reported growth (latest provided quarter): 2025/Q3 revenue, earnings, and margins all accelerated sharply (details below).

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Technical damage: Downtrend momentum remains bearish (MACD worsening) and the stock just fell -4.26% in the regular session—risk of follow-through.
- Options are put-heavy: Elevated put-call ratios suggest the market is still positioned cautiously, which can pressure rallies.
- Key support fragility: If ~153.5 (S1) fails, next notable level is ~148.4 (S2)—room for another leg down before stabilizing.
- No supportive insider signal: Insiders are reported neutral (no recent meaningful buying catalyst from management).
- No politician/influencer support: No recent Congress trading data available (no visibility of political accumulation).

Financial Performance

Latest quarter provided: 2025/Q3
Revenue: 6.083B, +88.63% YoY (strong top-line acceleration).
Net income: 3.228B, +144.33% YoY (profit growing faster than revenue).
EPS: 2.85, +141.53% YoY (powerful earnings leverage).
Gross margin: 92.21%, up +5.78% YoY (already high margins improving further) → supports durability of profitability if activity remains healthy.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Trend: Clear shift more bullish since late 2025—multiple upgrades/raised targets.
Goldman (2026-02-01): Upgraded to Buy from Neutral; PT raised to $213.39 (from $157.85). Rationale: capital market outlook + sustained client growth, competitiveness supporting profitability through 2027.
Citi (2025-11-21): Upgraded to Buy from Neutral; PT $201 unchanged; cited strong Q3 and attractive valuation after selloff.
Barclays (2025-11-20): Maintained Overweight; PT raised to $236 (from $232); highlighted much-better-than-expected Q3 and operational improvements.
Wall Street pros/cons view (from provided notes):
- Pros: Strong operating momentum, client/asset inflows, scalable platform economics, positive market outlook.
- Cons: The stock’s recent volatility/selloffs imply higher sensitivity to market sentiment; options market remains defensively positioned.

7 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast FUTU stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for FUTU is 222.55 USD with a low forecast of 157.85 USD and a high forecast of 300 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

6 Buy

1 Hold

0 Sell

Strong Buy

Current: 149.960

Low

157.85

Averages

222.55

High

300

Current: 149.960

Low

157.85

Averages

222.55

High

300

Goldman Sachs

Shuo Yang

Neutral -> Buy

upgrade

AI Analysis

2026-02-01

Reason

Goldman Sachs

Shuo Yang

Price Target

AI Analysis

2026-02-01

upgrade

Neutral -> Buy

Reason

Goldman Sachs analyst Shuo Yang upgraded Futu Holdings to Buy from Neutral with a price target of $213.39, up from $157.85. The firm cites its positive capital market outlook and the company's new client growth for the upgrade. Futu's "strong" product and market competitiveness will support stable growth in client assets and profitability through 2027, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Goldman sees the company's client expansion continuing.

Citi

Judy Zhang

Neutral -> Buy

upgrade

$201

2025-11-21

Reason

Citi

Judy Zhang

Price Target

$201

2025-11-21

upgrade

Neutral -> Buy

Reason

Citi analyst Judy Zhang upgraded Futu Holdings to Buy from Neutral with an unchanged price target of $201.

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FUTU Should I Buy

FUTU Should I Buy

Should You Buy Futu Holdings Ltd (FUTU) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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