Should I Buy FTV? FTV 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Fortive Corp (FTV) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

60.120

1 Day change

-0.13%

52 Week Range

62.650

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/05

Should I buy Analysis is updated weekly. For real time "Should I Buy" analysis, please sign up to get free answers.

Not a good buy right now at ~$60.4 pre-market: momentum is strong but overextended (RSI 84+) and price is pressing into resistance (~$61.4).
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
AI Stock Picker: no signal on given stock today.
SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.
Options positioning is skewed bullish, but that can also align with a crowded long near resistance.
Key near-term risk factors: heavy insider selling trend and recent Wall Street downgrades (targets below current price).

Technical Analysis

Trend: Bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) with a positive, expanding MACD histogram (0.311).
Momentum/extension: RSI_6 = 84.46 (overbought) → favors near-term pullback / digestion risk rather than a clean entry.
Levels: Pivot 55.996; Resistance R1 59.327 (already reclaimed), next R2 61.385 (overhead). Support S1 52.665.
Probabilistic pattern read: 40% chance of +8.91% next day, but -1.67% next week suggests “pop then fade” risk at current levels.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Sentiment: Very call-skewed (OI P/C 0.09; Volume P/C 0.21) → traders positioned bullish.
Activity: Today’s volume 922 vs 30D avg baseline implied by the dataset (~473%) → unusual attention/flow.
Volatility: 30D IV 23.49 with low IV percentile ~19.92 / IV rank ~3.58 → options are relatively “cheap,” consistent with complacent/bullish tone.
Interpretation: Bullish positioning supports upside attempts, but combined with overbought technicals it can also signal late-cycle chasing near resistance.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Earnings/news tone was positive: multiple reports highlight Q4 revenue and EPS beating expectations and FY26 adjusted EPS guide of ~$2.90–$3.00.
- Commentary points to execution + margin expansion as a support for the bull case.
- Broad tape: S&P 500 modestly positive pre-market (+0.06%), not a headwind.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Insiders are Selling (selling amount up ~2601% over the last month) — bearish signal for near-term upside.
- Analysts recently turned more cautious: JPMorgan downgrade to Underweight (PT $57) and Mizuho double-downgrade to Underperform (PT $51) — both below current price.
- Potential narrative risk cited by JPM: organic growth “lack of pickup” and software disruption risk.
- Near-term setup risk: price is near R2 resistance (~$61.4) while RSI is extremely overbought.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2025/Q4.
Snapshot shows: Revenue $1.122B, -30.72% YoY; Net income $185.7M, -11.06% YoY; EPS $0.58, -3.33% YoY.
Profitability quality improved: Gross margin 63.15%, +4.71% YoY (supports the “margin expansion” narrative in the news).
Note on mixed signals: news items emphasize ~4.6% YoY revenue growth while the provided snapshot shows a large YoY drop—this can happen with portfolio changes/disposals/reclassifications; regardless, the market focus appears to be beat + FY26 EPS guidance rather than headline YoY revenue.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent trend: ratings drifting down (two notable downgrades in January) with price targets mostly $51–$59.
Key changes:
- Mizuho (2026-01-05): Underperform, PT $51 (from $54) — expects slow start to 2026 and demand/funding uncertainty.
- JPMorgan (2026-01-16): Underweight, PT $57 (from $55) — cites organic growth concerns and software disruption risk.
- Wells Fargo (2025-12-22): Equal Weight, PT $59 (from $55) — expects modest 2026 revenue growth and EPS bridge.
- Citi (2025-12-08): Neutral, PT $59 (from $57).
Wall Street pros view: execution + margins + FY26 guide are supportive.
Wall Street cons view: muted organic growth, near-term demand risk, and post-breakup catalyst fade, with targets that don’t justify chasing at ~$60+.

11 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast FTV stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for FTV is 56.73 USD with a low forecast of 51 USD and a high forecast of 66 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

2 Buy

8 Hold

1 Sell

Hold

Current: 60.200

Low

Averages

56.73

High

Current: 60.200

Low

Averages

56.73

High

Citi

Andrew Kaplowitz

Neutral

maintain

$59 -> $64

AI Analysis

2026-02-05

New

Reason

Citi

Andrew Kaplowitz

Price Target

$59 -> $64

AI Analysis

2026-02-05

New

maintain

Neutral

Reason

Citi analyst Andrew Kaplowitz raised the firm's price target on Fortive to $64 from $59 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares.

Baird

NULL -> Outperform

maintain

$58 -> $65

2026-02-05

New

Reason

Baird

Price Target

$58 -> $65

2026-02-05

New

maintain

NULL -> Outperform

Reason

Baird raised the firm's price target on Fortive to $65 from $58 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. The firm updated its model following solid Q4 results which beat low expectations.

Unlock Full Analyst Thesis， Get the complete breakdown of rating reason for FTV

Unlock Now

FTV Should I Buy

FTV Should I Buy

Should You Buy Fortive Corp (FTV) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

People Also Watch