Buy now: the broader trend is still bullish (stacked bullish moving averages) and today’s dip improves entry for an impatient buyer.
Near-term setup favors a bounce: price is sitting just below the pivot (17.689) with clear upside levels at 18.426 and 18.882.
Sentiment is constructive: options positioning is call-heavy (low put/call) and Wall Street coverage is bullish with $20–$25 targets.
Key near-term catalyst window: QDEC 2025 earnings on 2026-03-03 (after hours), which can re-rate the stock if growth holds.
Technical Analysis
Trend: Bullish structure with SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200, suggesting the primary trend remains up despite today’s -3.20% regular-session pullback.
Momentum: MACD histogram is positive (0.0101) but “positively contracting,” implying upside momentum is fading short-term (more chop/pullback risk before the next leg).
RSI: RSI_6 at ~49.6 is neutral—no overbought condition, which supports a dip-buying case rather than a “too-extended” tape.
Levels: Pivot 17.689 (price 17.55 slightly below). Support S1 16.952 then S2 16.496. Resistance R1 18.426 then R2 18.882.
Pattern-based bias: Similar-pattern model implies ~-0.51% next day, but +2.35% next week and +2.82% next month—consistent with a short-term wobble followed by recovery.
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Positioning: Open interest put/call = 0.18 (very call-skewed), typically a bullish sentiment read.
Flow: Put volume is 0 vs call volume 75 (put/call volume = 0.0). This is aggressively call-leaning, though absolute volume is modest.
Volatility: 30D IV 92.6 vs HV 76.0 (IV > realized), implying the options market is pricing large moves into upcoming events (notably earnings).
Activity vs norms: Today’s volume is ~78.95% of the 30D average and open interest is ~109.93% vs its average—interest is present but not at “panic/mania” extremes.
Technical Summary
Sell
4
Buy
7
Positive Catalysts
Bullish analyst setup: recent initiations/top-pick commentary frames 2026 as an inflection year for scaling Data Analytics.
Strong last reported quarter: 2025/Q3 showed meaningful revenue growth and major profitability improvement.
Upcoming QDEC 2025 earnings (2026-03-03 AH) can act as a re-rating catalyst if scaling narrative is validated.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
and S2 (16.496).
Financial Performance
Latest quarter: 2025/Q3.
Revenue: $56.03M, up 12.64% YoY (solid top-line growth).
Profitability: Net income $20.36M, up 703.91% YoY (major earnings inflection).
EPS: $0.53, up 562.50% YoY (strong per-share growth).
Margins: Gross margin 30.7%, up 71.60% YoY (material improvement in business quality/operating leverage signals).
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Trend: Recent coverage is decisively bullish with fresh/renewed positive attention.
2026-01-29: Lake Street initiated at Buy with a $25 target, citing an early-stage strategic reset and encouraging results; expects ~20% CAGR in Data Analytics over the next several years.
2025-12-31: Northland named FTK a 2026 top pick; Outperform rating with a $20 target, expecting 2026 adoption/scaling and potential upside from customer wins.
Wall Street pros vs cons:
Pros: Scaling narrative in Data Analytics, improving margins/profitability, and identifiable growth avenues.
Cons: Execution/adoption timing risk (inflection thesis must show up in upcoming results) and near-term technical softness after the recent drop.
Wall Street analysts forecast FTK stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for FTK is 19.5 USD with a low forecast of 19 USD and a high forecast of 20 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
2 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast FTK stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for FTK is 19.5 USD with a low forecast of 19 USD and a high forecast of 20 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
2 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 16.120
Low
19
Averages
19.5
High
20
Current: 16.120
Low
19
Averages
19.5
High
20
Lake Street
NULL
to
Buy
initiated
$25
AI Analysis
2026-01-29
Reason
Lake Street
Price Target
$25
AI Analysis
2026-01-29
initiated
NULL
to
Buy
Reason
Lake Street initiated coverage of Flotek with a Buy rating and $25 price target. Flotek is in the early innings of a strategic reset to focus on high-value, data-driven measurement services products for the energy industry and early results are "encouraging," the analyst tells investors. The firm expects about a 20% compound annual growth rate in the Data Analytics segment for the next several years as new products certified or acquired in 2025 start to gain traction, the analyst added.
Northland
Outperform
maintain
$20
2025-12-31
Reason
Northland
Price Target
$20
2025-12-31
maintain
Outperform
Reason
Northland says Flotek is a 2026 top pick as the firm thinks it will be a year of inflection for the company to see its Data Analytics business start to scale, while validating meaningful 3rd-party growth opportunities, particularly in the Power Services and Digital Valuation end markets. Northland's sense is customers like the technology and see the value, so the firm thinks adoption starts to occur in 2026. Further, Northland believes its estimates are conservative, with a couple customer wins likely driving upside to numbers. The firm has an Outperform rating on the shares with a price target of $20.
Unlock Full Analyst Thesis， Get the complete breakdown of rating reason for FTK
