Should I Buy FTI? FTI 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy TechnipFMC PLC (FTI) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

59.060

1 Day change

5.00%

52 Week Range

59.480

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/04

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Not a good buy right now: price (~56.54) is pushing into resistance (R1 ~57.16) with RSI ~70 and a contracting MACD histogram, which often precedes near-term consolidation.
Upside looks more limited near-term because the stock is already at/above the newest Street targets (multiple fresh PTs at $56), so you’re paying up after a strong run.
Options sentiment is bullish (very low put/call), but implied volatility is extremely elevated (IV percentile ~93), which often happens late in a move and ahead of catalysts.
Insider activity is a clear negative (selling sharply higher last month), which reduces the attractiveness of chasing here.

Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals

AI Stock Picker: No signal on given stock today.
SwingMax: No signal on given stock today.

Technical Analysis

Trend: Bullish trend structure remains intact (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), signaling a strong intermediate uptrend.
Momentum: MACD histogram is positive (0.122) but contracting—momentum is still bullish but fading.
RSI: RSI_6 at ~70.11 is near overbought, consistent with “chop/pullback risk” rather than a fresh low-risk entry.
Levels: Pivot support ~~55.51 (first area to hold for bulls). Immediate resistance ~57.16 (R1), then ~58.18 (R2). Current price (~~56.54) is closer to resistance than support, making risk/reward less favorable for an impatient entry.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Sentiment: Very low put/call ratios (OI PCR 0.18; Volume PCR 0.26) indicate strongly bullish positioning/skew.
Volatility: 30D IV ~46.57 vs historical vol ~24.84; IV percentile ~93.23 suggests options are richly priced (market is paying up for movement, often around catalysts).
Activity: Today’s option volume is elevated vs 30D average (~15.65x), signaling heightened attention/speculation.
Interpretation: Options flow supports bullish sentiment, but the high IV also implies the market expects a big move and reduces the “easy upside” from here without a catalyst beat.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Sector tailwind: oilfield services are strong YTD performers (~30%), suggesting broad capital flows into the group.
- Narrative support: commentary framing the move as a “structural re-rating” can extend trends beyond simple momentum.
- Earnings catalyst ahead: QDEC 2025 earnings on 2026-02-19 (pre-market). A beat/raise could break resistance and re-open upside.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Insider selling: insiders are selling, with selling activity up sharply over the last month—negative signal for near-term confidence.
- Technical positioning: near resistance with near-overbought RSI and fading MACD momentum increases odds of a pullback/consolidation.
- Valuation/targets vs price: multiple recent price targets are now essentially met (~$56), limiting perceived upside unless earnings materially surprise.
- Event risk: earnings on 2026-02-19 can trigger a sharp move either way; high IV indicates the market expects volatility.
- Congress/influential activity: no recent congress trading data available (no supportive signal from political/influential buying).

Financial Performance

Latest reported quarter: 2025/Q3 showed solid growth.
Revenue: $2.647B, +12.73% YoY (healthy top-line expansion).
Net income: $309.7M, +12.78% YoY (profit growth tracking revenue).
EPS: $0.75, +19.05% YoY (earnings leverage improving).
Gross margin: 22.81%, +8.46% YoY (margin expansion supports durability of the uptrend, but price action suggests much of this may be priced in near-term).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent Street trend is positive: multiple firms reiterated bullish ratings and raised price targets into late 2025/early 2026.
Notable changes: Susquehanna PT to $56 (Positive), TD Cowen PT to $56 (Buy), Piper Sandler PT to $52 (Overweight), JPMorgan PT to $50 (Overweight).
Wall Street pros: sees resilience/idiosyncratic growth and cyclical tailwinds; offshore recovery narrative can support multi-quarter strength.
Wall Street cons: cautious on broader upstream spending; TD Cowen flagged some Venezuela-related rally enthusiasm as potentially overdone.
Practical takeaway: analyst stance is supportive, but current price is already at the top end of the freshest targets, making it less attractive as a buy right now.

11 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast FTI stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for FTI is 48.5 USD with a low forecast of 40 USD and a high forecast of 53 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

10 Buy

1 Hold

0 Sell

Strong Buy

Current: 56.250

Low

Averages

48.5

High

Current: 56.250

Low

Averages

48.5

High

Susquehanna

Positive

maintain

$48 -> $56

AI Analysis

2026-01-07

Reason

Susquehanna

Price Target

$48 -> $56

AI Analysis

2026-01-07

maintain

Positive

Reason

Susquehanna raised the firm's price target on TechnipFMC to $56 from $48 and keeps a Positive rating on the shares. With U.S. rig and frac spread count flattish from Q3 levels heading into Q4 earnings season for the oilfield services sector, U.S. drilling and completions activity "appears to have held in better than most were expecting," the analyst tells investors in a group preview.

TD Cowen

Buy

upgrade

$47 -> $56

2026-01-07

Reason

TD Cowen

Price Target

$47 -> $56

2026-01-07

upgrade

Buy

Reason

TD Cowen raised the firm's price target on TechnipFMC to $56 from $47 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm adjusted targets in the oilfield services group as part of a Q4 preview. Many oilfield stocks have responded positively to the capture of Nicolas Maduro, anticipating increased oilfield investment in Venezuela, the analyst tells investors in a research note. However, TD thinks it will take a long time and require a lot of guarantees from the U.S. government for U.S. companies to commit capital. It says the stock rallies on the news may be overdone. However, many names in the group remain "cheap," the firm adds.

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FTI Should I Buy

FTI Should I Buy

Should You Buy TechnipFMC PLC (FTI) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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