Should I Buy FTHM? FTHM 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Fathom Holdings Inc (FTHM) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Sell

Latest Price

1.050

1 Day change

11.06%

52 Week Range

3.370

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/04

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Not a good buy right now: trend is decisively bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5 + MACD histogram negative and expanding), so downside risk remains immediate.
Oversold RSI (RSI_6 ≈ 18.7) can spark a bounce, but there is no confirming reversal signal and the stock is sitting near support (~1.01).
Insider activity is a major red flag: insiders are selling and the selling amount jumped ~3108.64% over the last month.
Options positioning looks bullish on open interest (low put/call), but volumes are tiny, so sentiment evidence is weak.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals
AI Stock Picker: No signal on given stock today.
SwingMax: No signal on given stock recently.

Technical Analysis

Price action/structure: bearish alignment of moving averages (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5) confirms a downtrend.
Momentum: MACD histogram = -0.0359 and negatively expanding → selling pressure is strengthening, not stabilizing.
Mean-reversion: RSI_6 = 18.681 (oversold) → bounce potential exists, but it’s counter-trend until momentum improves.
Key levels: Support S1 ≈ 1.007 (very close to current ~1.00); if it fails, next support S2 ≈ 0.892. Overhead resistance/pivot at ~1.194, then R1 ~1.382.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Open interest: Calls 6,444 vs Puts 2,276; Open Interest Put-Call Ratio = 0.35 → positioning skews bullish (more calls outstanding).
Volume: total volume is extremely low (10 contracts; put volume 10, call volume 0), so today’s flow is not a strong sentiment signal.
Volatility: 30D IV ~144.47 vs historical vol ~91.44 → options imply elevated forward uncertainty.
IV rank/percentile ~22 → IV is not high relative to its own history; limited evidence of panic hedging right now.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Analyst coverage: Roth Capital initiated/assumed coverage with a Buy and $2.50 PT, citing potential margin/profitability inflection and improved balance sheet post-equity raise.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Strong bearish trend and worsening downside momentum (MACD expanding negative) increases odds any bounce fails quickly.
- Insider selling is accelerating sharply (selling amount +3108.64% MoM), a meaningful negative signal.
- No news catalysts in the last week; without a trigger, the stock can continue to drift with the trend.
- Similar-pattern forward drift is weak: model suggests only modest upside over 1W/1M and slightly negative next-day bias.

Financial Performance

Latest reported quarter: 2025/Q3.
Growth: Revenue $115.313M, +37.72% YoY (strong top-line expansion).
Profitability deteriorated: Net Income - $4.357M (down -46.35% YoY), EPS -0.15 (down -62.50% YoY).
Efficiency: Gross margin 7.82%, down -3.81% YoY → margin compression is a key issue despite revenue growth.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent change: 2025-12-28 Roth Capital (Tom Hayes) assumed coverage: Buy, $2.50 price target.
Wall Street pros: expects platform expansion (more products/services) to lift margins and profitability; balance sheet viewed as better positioned after equity raise.
Wall Street cons (from current data): operating results still worsening on EPS/net income and gross margin, while the stock’s technical trend remains firmly bearish—execution risk is still high.

1 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast FTHM stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for FTHM is 2.5 USD with a low forecast of 2.5 USD and a high forecast of 2.5 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

1 Buy

0 Hold

0 Sell

Moderate Buy

Current: 0.950

Low

2.5

Averages

2.5

High

2.5

Current: 0.950

Low

2.5

Averages

2.5

High

2.5

Roth Capital

Tom Hayes

initiated

$2.50

AI Analysis

2025-12-28

Reason

Roth Capital

Tom Hayes

Price Target

$2.50

AI Analysis

2025-12-28

initiated

Reason

Roth Capital analyst Tom Hayes assumed coverage of Fathom with a Buy rating and $2.50 price target. The firm believes the company is nearing an inflection point. Fathom is adding more products and services to the platform, which will increase margins and its profitability, the analyst tells investors in a research note. In addition, Roth says Fathom's balance sheet, post the recent equity raise, is well positioned to support its current initiatives.

Roth Capital

NULL

Buy

maintain

2025-08-13

Reason

Roth Capital

Price Target

2025-08-13

maintain

NULL

Buy

Reason

Roth Capital raised the firm's price target on Fathom to $2 from $1.50 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm says the company's Q2 revenue and EBITDA beat overshadowed its softer agent and transaction counts. However, Elevate's higher-margin profile and ancillary attach underpin can drive margin expansion for Fathom in 2026, the analyst tells investors in a research note.

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FTHM Should I Buy

FTHM Should I Buy

Should You Buy Fathom Holdings Inc (FTHM) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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