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Despite strong revenue growth and agent count increase, the company faces challenges like economic headwinds, profitability issues, and competitive pressures. The lack of share repurchase and unclear guidance on partnerships weigh negatively. However, optimistic guidance on adjusted EBITDA profitability and transaction volume, along with successful cost-cutting and agent onboarding, balance the sentiment. Therefore, the stock price reaction over the next two weeks is likely to remain neutral, with potential for volatility due to market conditions and uncertainties.
Total Revenue $93.1 million, a 32.1% increase year-over-year from $70.5 million, primarily due to a 36% increase in brokerage revenue and growth in ancillary businesses.
Brokerage Revenue $88.9 million, a 36% increase from $65.4 million year-over-year, attributed to the addition of My Home Group.
Gross Profit $8.1 million, up 13% year-over-year; excluding Dagley Insurance, gross profit growth was 34% from $6 million in Q1 2024.
Gross Profit Margin 8.7%, consistent year-over-year.
Net Loss $5.6 million or $0.24 per share, improved from a loss of $5.9 million or $0.31 per share in Q1 2024, primarily due to cost-saving efforts.
Adjusted EBITDA Loss $1.5 million, unchanged compared to Q1 2024.
Real Estate Transactions 9,715 transactions, a 26.1% increase from 7,703 transactions in Q1 2024, attributed to the addition of My Home Group.
Agent Count 14,715 licensed agents, a 22.8% increase from 11,986 agents in Q1 2024.
Mortgage Revenue $2.6 million, a 13% increase from $2.3 million in Q1 2024, due to an expected increase in mortgage starts.
Title Revenue $1 million, a 43% increase from $700,000 in Q1 2024, driven by organic growth.
Cash Position $8 million, including $2.7 million in net proceeds from a public offering in March.
Elevate Program: Elevate is a high margin growth program designed to enhance agent productivity, scale the platform, and drive long-term profitability. It offers comprehensive services including marketing, lead generation, transaction coordination, and coaching. Since its soft launch, over 120 agents have signed up.
Market Conditions: Mortgage rates are stabilizing, with a shift from a seller's market to a more balanced market. Housing inventory has increased significantly in key markets, leading to price reductions and modest year-over-year declines in home prices.
Cost-Cutting Initiatives: Fathom has reduced expenses by approximately $750,000 per quarter, contributing to a more efficient and scalable business model.
Agent Growth: The company ended the quarter with approximately 14,715 licensed agents, a 22.8% increase over Q1 of 2024.
Adjusted EBITDA Profitability: Fathom expects to achieve adjusted EBITDA profitability in the second quarter of 2025, marking a significant milestone.
Economic Headwinds: The company faces ongoing economic headwinds from elevated mortgage rates and shifting global economic uncertainty, which could impact business performance.
Market Conditions: The housing market is transitioning from a seller's market to a more balanced or buyer's market, leading to increased inventory and price reductions, which may affect revenue.
Regulatory Risks: The company acknowledges that forward-looking statements are subject to numerous conditions beyond its control, including regulatory issues outlined in SEC filings.
Competitive Pressures: Fathom Holdings is competing against traditional brokerages that may offer similar or higher commission splits, which could impact agent recruitment and retention.
Cost Management: While the company has implemented cost-cutting initiatives, ongoing management of expenses is crucial to achieving profitability, especially in a volatile market.
Profitability Challenges: Despite revenue growth, the company reported a net loss of $5.6 million, indicating challenges in achieving consistent profitability.
Agent Performance: The success of the Elevate program relies on agents meeting transaction requirements, which may pose a risk if agent performance does not align with expectations.
Elevate Program: Elevate is a high margin growth program designed to enhance agent productivity, scale the platform, and drive long-term profitability. It offers comprehensive services including marketing, lead generation, transaction coordination, and coaching. Since its soft launch, over 120 agents have signed up, with a goal of onboarding around 100 new agents per month by Q4.
Cost-Cutting Initiatives: Fathom has implemented cost-cutting initiatives, reducing expenses by approximately $750,000 per quarter, contributing to a more efficient and scalable business.
Agent Growth: The company entered Q1 2025 with approximately 14,715 licensed agents, a 22.8% increase over Q1 2024, indicating strong growth in agent count.
Adjusted EBITDA Profitability: Fathom expects to achieve adjusted EBITDA profitability in Q2 2025, marking a significant milestone.
Revenue Growth: Total revenue for Q1 2025 was $93.1 million, a 32.1% increase year-over-year, with expectations for continued growth driven by the Elevate program and increased transaction volume.
Market Outlook: While mortgage rates remain elevated, there are signs of stabilization in the housing market, which Fathom believes positions them well for future growth.
Share Repurchase Program: We did not purchase any shares in the first quarter under the stock repurchase plan.
The earnings call showed strong financial metrics with a 37.7% revenue increase and improved EBITDA, but the lack of share repurchases and a $2 million litigation expense weigh negatively. Strategic plans like Elevate and partnerships could support growth, yet uncertainties in real estate and execution risks persist. Q&A insights were positive with clear management responses, but no groundbreaking news. Given these mixed factors, the stock price is likely to remain stable, leading to a neutral sentiment.
The earnings report shows strong revenue growth and strategic partnerships, but competitive pricing pressures, high interest rates, and increased operating expenses are concerning. The absence of Q&A insights limits clarity on management's outlook. Given these mixed signals and the lack of market cap data, the stock is likely to remain neutral over the next two weeks.
Despite strong revenue growth and agent count increase, the company faces challenges like economic headwinds, profitability issues, and competitive pressures. The lack of share repurchase and unclear guidance on partnerships weigh negatively. However, optimistic guidance on adjusted EBITDA profitability and transaction volume, along with successful cost-cutting and agent onboarding, balance the sentiment. Therefore, the stock price reaction over the next two weeks is likely to remain neutral, with potential for volatility due to market conditions and uncertainties.
The earnings call presents a positive outlook with strong revenue growth, improved agent growth, and effective cost management. The Elevate program is expected to significantly enhance profitability. However, economic headwinds and competitive pressures pose risks. The Q&A suggests optimism with potential partnerships, but lacks detail. The absence of share repurchases is a minor concern. Overall, the financial performance and strategic initiatives suggest a positive stock price movement, despite some uncertainties.
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