Not a good buy right now for an impatient buyer: momentum is still bearish (MACD histogram negative and worsening) and price is sitting just above near-term support.
Risk/reward isn’t compelling until FTDR either (1) reclaims the pivot (~59.01) or (2) shows a clear rebound off support with improving momentum.
Sentiment headwinds: insiders have been heavy sellers recently (+906.53% selling over the last month), which reduces confidence in an immediate upside move.
Trend/Momentum: Bearish near-term. MACD histogram at -0.393 and negatively expanding suggests downside momentum is still strengthening.
RSI: RSI(6) at ~27 is oversold-ish, which can support a bounce, but oversold alone is not a buy signal while MACD keeps deteriorating.
Moving averages: Converging MAs = transition/indecision; not a clean uptrend.
Key levels: Support S1 ~57.04 (very close to current ~56.91 post-market) then S2 ~55.82. Resistance/pivot ~59.01, then R1 ~60.98.
Practical read: With price under the pivot and pressing support, the setup leans toward “stabilize first” rather than “buy immediately.”
Options Data
Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Positioning: Put OI (1050) > Call OI (588) with OI put/call = 1.79, signaling defensive/bearish positioning or hedging demand.
Activity: Option volume is effectively zero today (call vol 0 / put vol 0), so the put-heavy OI is not being actively reinforced intraday.
Volatility: 30D IV ~46.46 vs historical vol ~26.45 (IV is elevated). IV percentile ~69 suggests options are relatively pricey vs the past year’s distribution; market is pricing higher uncertainty (notably ahead of earnings).
Takeaway: Options lean cautious (put-heavy OI) and elevated IV suggests the market is paying up for protection/uncertainty rather than confidently pricing upside.
Technical Summary
Sell
7
Buy
5
Positive Catalysts
holds and momentum improves.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
and IV is elevated, consistent with caution/uncertainty.
Net income: $106M, +6.00% YoY (growth, but slower than revenue).
EPS: $1.42, +9.23% YoY (solid profitability per share).
Gross margin: 53.72%, down ~1.67% YoY (margin pressure is the main softness in the quarter’s quality of growth).
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
No analyst rating/price target change data was provided in the dataset, so a recent trend analysis can’t be confirmed here.
Wall Street-style pros (based on provided fundamentals): solid YoY revenue/EPS growth; upcoming earnings as a potential catalyst.
Wall Street-style cons (based on provided sentiment/technicals): margin compression (GM down YoY), heavy insider selling, and bearish near-term technical momentum.
Wall Street analysts forecast FTDR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for FTDR is 67 USD with a low forecast of 63 USD and a high forecast of 71 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
3 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast FTDR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for FTDR is 67 USD with a low forecast of 63 USD and a high forecast of 71 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
3 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 57.140
Low
63
Averages
67
High
71
Current: 57.140
Low
63
Averages
67
High
71
Truist
Buy
maintain
$67 -> $71
AI Analysis
2025-08-06
Reason
Truist
Price Target
$67 -> $71
AI Analysis
2025-08-06
maintain
Buy
Reason
Truist raised the firm's price target on Frontdoor to $71 from $67 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm cites the company's outperformance in the second quarter along with higher assumed revenue and EBITDA, consistent with management guidance, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
Oppenheimer
Oppenheimer
Outperform
maintain
$56 -> $63
2025-08-06
Reason
Oppenheimer
Oppenheimer
Price Target
$56 -> $63
2025-08-06
maintain
Outperform
Reason
Oppenheimer raised the firm's price target on Frontdoor to $63 from $56 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares following quarterly results. The firm has increased confidence in the FY25 outlook, growth trajectory of non-warranty revenues, and 2-10 integration/synergies.
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