Buy now: Fundamentals are strong (double-digit revenue growth and faster EPS growth), and price is consolidating near a key pivot (~111), which is a reasonable “don’t-wait” entry for an impatient buyer.
Options positioning (OI put/call < 1) leans bullish and suggests traders are positioned more for upside than downside into the next catalyst.
Near-term upside levels to watch: 115.33 (R1) then 117.86 (R2); key downside line: 107.14 (S1).
Trend/momentum: MACD histogram -0.446 (below 0) but negatively contracting → bearish momentum is fading, consistent with stabilization rather than an active breakdown.
RSI: RSI(6) 47.5 (neutral) → no overbought/oversold edge; supports a consolidation/readiness-to-move setup.
Moving averages: converging → compression/range behavior; typically precedes a larger move once a level breaks.
Key levels: Price 110.99 is just under the pivot 111.23; upside triggers above pivot target 115.33 (R1) / 117.86 (R2); supports at 107.14 (S1) / 104.60 (S2).
Sentiment: Open Interest Put/Call = 0.61 → more call positioning than puts (bullish tilt).
Activity: Volume Put/Call = 0.0, but absolute volume is extremely small (today’s volume ~1 contract), so volume sentiment is not very informative today.
Volatility: 30D IV 36.31 vs HV 26.55 with IV percentile 76.49 → options are pricing elevated implied move, consistent with an upcoming event window.
Positioning note: open interest is modest (calls 440 vs puts 269), but today’s OI metrics are elevated vs recent averages, suggesting some fresh positioning/rolls.
Technical Summary
Sell
3
Buy
13
Positive Catalysts
Earnings catalyst: QDEC 2025 earnings scheduled 2026-02-25 pre-market with investor call shortly after; can re-rate the stock if results/guide beat.
Operating momentum: latest reported quarter shows strong YoY growth in revenue, net income, and EPS.
Positioning tailwind: options OI put/call below 1 suggests traders are skewed toward upside exposure rather than hedging.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
Technical backdrop is not a confirmed uptrend yet (MACD still below zero; moving averages converged), so upside likely requires a clean break above pivot/resistance.
Profitability mix: gross margin down YoY in the latest quarter (suggests cost/price mix pressure).
Flow signals: Hedge funds and insiders neutral recently, implying no strong “smart-money” accumulation signal from the provided data.
Wall Street-style cons (from the provided fundamentals/technicals): mild gross-margin compression and a chart that is consolidating rather than trending strongly upward.
Influential trading check: No recent congress trading data available (no politician buy/sell signal in the last 90 days).
Wall Street analysts forecast FSS stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for FSS is 112 USD with a low forecast of 112 USD and a high forecast of 112 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
3 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast FSS stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for FSS is 112 USD with a low forecast of 112 USD and a high forecast of 112 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
1 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 112.410
Low
112
Averages
112
High
112
Current: 112.410
Low
112
Averages
112
High
112
DA Davidson
Neutral
maintain
$96 -> $100
AI Analysis
2025-07-22
Reason
DA Davidson
Price Target
$96 -> $100
AI Analysis
2025-07-22
maintain
Neutral
Reason
DA Davidson raised the firm's price target on Federal Signal to $100 from $96 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. Ag is finally at trough amid a "truly historic" bottom for tractor sales, while in Trucks, the Class 8 Vocational markets may be seeing signs of strain, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
KeyBanc
Overweight -> Sector Weight
downgrade
2025-07-11
Reason
KeyBanc
Price Target
2025-07-11
downgrade
Overweight -> Sector Weight
Reason
KeyBanc downgraded Federal Signal to Sector Weight from Overweight without a price target. The firm cites valuation for the downgrade with the shares up 58% since early April. Federal Signal is now one of the most expensive construction machinery names based on 2026 estimates, the analyst tells investors in a research note. KeyBanc adds the company's order compares are tough.
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