FROG Should I Buy
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$
0.000
0.000(0.000%)
At close0.000(0.000%)Aft-market
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["Not a good buy right now for an impatient investor: short-term technicals are still pointing down (bearish MACD), and the statistical pattern outlook skews negative over the next month (-5.63%).", "Price is sitting just above a key support zone (~51.2). That can produce a bounce, but the trend evidence does not yet confirm a durable reversal.", "Options positioning is bullish (very low put/call ratios), but implied volatility is extremely elevated (30D IV ~93%, IV percentile ~98) heading into earnings (2026-02-12), which increases event-risk pricing and makes \u201cright now\u201d entries less attractive."]
["Trend/momentum: MACD histogram is negative (-0.482) and expanding lower \u2192 bearish momentum is strengthening rather than stabilizing.", "RSI(6) ~27.6: near oversold conditions, which can support a short-lived rebound, but oversold alone is not a confirmed trend reversal.", "Moving averages: converging \u2192 market is compressing, but without an upside break yet.", "Key levels: Support S1 ~51.215 (near current ~52.14); deeper support S2 ~48.406. Resistance/pivot ~55.761; next resistance R1 ~60.306.", "Near-term probability model: ~50% chance of -1.03% next day, -0.42% next week, -5.63% next month \u2192 bias remains to the downside."]
on 2026-02-12 after hours can act as a catalyst if results/guide beat expectations.", "Pricing action: reported self-hosted Enterprise X tier price increase (~6% on Jan
supports monetization narrative.", "Analyst commentary highlights AI-driven demand and improving deal sizes as potential tailwinds across 2026."]
gets retested or breaks before a sustainable bounce.", "Event-driven pricing is elevated (very high IV into earnings), implying the market is already braced for a large move\u2014directional edge is less favorable right now."]
["Latest quarter: 2025/Q3.", "Revenue growth remains strong: $136.9M, +25.54% YoY (clear top-line momentum).", "Profitability is still pressured: net loss widened to -$16.43M (down -28.39% YoY) and EPS declined to -$0.14 (down -33.33% YoY).", "Gross margin improved to 77.43% (+3.27% YoY), supporting the longer-term operating leverage story, but it hasn\u2019t yet translated into bottom-line improvement."]
["Recent trend: price targets have generally moved higher (e.g., Cantor to $80; BTIG initiated Buy with $83; KeyBanc raised to $79; BofA raised to $74; Truist raised to $70; Barclays maintained Overweight with $67).", "Sentiment is mostly constructive (multiple Buys/Overweights), with a notable caution flag: UBS downgraded to Neutral (PT $65) citing valuation reflecting much of the strength.", "Wall Street bull case: durable growth profile, Artifactory strength, expanding security upsell traction, AI-driven usage potentially boosting commitments.", "Wall Street bear case: valuation concerns after a large run and the AI revenue impact potentially being more back-half (12\u201318 months) rather than immediate; losses still widening despite margin improvement."]
