Should I Buy FRHC? FRHC 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Freedom Holding Corp (FRHC) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Sell

Latest Price

122.760

1 Day change

6.25%

52 Week Range

194.010

Analysis Updated At

2026/02/04

Should I buy Analysis is updated weekly. For real time "Should I Buy" analysis, please sign up to get free answers.

Not a good buy right now: price is in a confirmed downtrend (bearish MA stack and worsening MACD), and near-term pattern odds skew negative (next day/week).
Oversold RSI (6) can trigger sharp bounces, but options flow is heavily put-skewed and supports continued caution rather than an aggressive entry.
Intellectia signals are not supportive today (no AI Stock Picker or SwingMax), so there’s no “must-buy-now” trigger for an impatient entry.
With weakening latest-quarter fundamentals (2026/Q2 YoY revenue and earnings down sharply), the risk/reward is unfavorable for buying immediately.

Technical Analysis

Trend: Bearish. Moving averages are stacked SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5, consistent with sustained downside momentum.
Momentum: MACD histogram at -0.644 and negatively expanding, indicating bearish momentum is strengthening.
Oscillators: RSI_6 = 16.79 (deeply oversold) suggests a bounce is possible, but oversold can persist in strong downtrends.
Levels: Pivot 122.98 is overhead resistance; immediate support S1 115.654 (price ~117 post-market), next support S2 111.127. A breakdown below ~115.65 increases downside risk toward ~111.
Pattern-based outlook: 60% chance of -1.82% next day and -2.71% next week; despite a +9.6% next-month bias, near-term pressure dominates the “buy now” decision.

Options Data

Bearish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bearish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Sentiment: Bearish/defensive. Put open interest (1015) exceeds call open interest (772) with OI put-call ratio 1.31.
Flow: Extremely put-skewed daily volume (put-call volume ratio 8.5), even though absolute volume is small (19 total; calls 2, puts 17).
Volatility: IV is elevated (30D IV 56.87 vs historical vol 32.93) with IV percentile 95.62, implying rich option premiums and heightened perceived risk.
Positioning note: Today’s open interest (1787) is elevated vs recent averages (today vs OI avg 30D = 77.33), suggesting positioning/hedging has picked up.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

- Technical mean-reversion setup: RSI_6 at 16.79 (oversold) can fuel a snapback rally if selling pressure eases.
- Price is near key support (S1 ~115.65); holding that level can attract dip-buyers/short-covering.
- One-month pattern projection shows +9.6% potential, indicating rebounds are plausible once momentum stabilizes.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

- Downtrend is intact: bearish MA stack plus expanding negative MACD reduces the probability that a bounce becomes a sustained reversal.
- Options are skewed bearish (put-heavy volume and higher put OI), consistent with continued downside/hedging demand.
- No news catalysts in the past week to justify a sudden fundamental re-rating upward.
- Near-term statistical bias is negative (next day/week expected drift lower).

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2026/Q2.
Revenue: 382,017,000 (YoY -9.50%) — contraction rather than growth.
Net income: 38,721,000 (YoY -66.23%) — major profitability deterioration.
EPS: 0.63 (YoY -66.84%) — steep earnings decline.
Gross margin: 96.04 (YoY -2.75%) — margin compression (small in percent terms, but directionally negative).
Takeaway: Fundamentals are weakening materially, which conflicts with initiating a fresh buy “right now” without a clear catalyst.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No analyst rating or price target change data was provided, so a recent trend in Wall Street upgrades/downgrades cannot be confirmed.
Wall Street pros/cons view (based on available data only):
- Pros: Potential oversold rebound; longer-horizon snapback possibility if support holds.
- Cons: Clear technical downtrend and sharply weaker 2026/Q2 earnings profile; options positioning leans defensive.
Influential/political trading: No recent congress trading data available; hedge funds and insiders are neutral with no significant recent trend.

Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast FRHC stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for FRHC is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

Buy

Hold

Sell

Current: 115.540

Low

Averages

High

Current: 115.540

Low

Averages

High

FRHC Should I Buy

FRHC Should I Buy

Should You Buy Freedom Holding Corp (FRHC) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No data

People Also Watch